Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate (MOVE) MOVE · Forecast & Analysis
The picture is neutral: the only fresh news for MOVE is a scheduling notice putting third quarter results before market open on November 12, with no figures to move the view. No price history is available either, so the report is the real test.
News situation · 1 items / 30 D
1 of 1 straight from the issuer or regulator
Outlook for Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate (MOVE) Index
Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.
What drives it
- Third quarter results are confirmed for before market open on November 12, giving a dated catalyst.
- Apart from that notice the news flow is quiet, leaving the fundamental stance unchanged.
What argues against it
- The scheduling announcement carries no revenue, profit or guidance figures to act on.
- Until the results land there is little fresh evidence either way, which keeps conviction low.
What would change the picture
- Third quarter results on November 12 coming in better or worse than expected would set the direction.
- High-impact US inflation and labour-market readings due in the coming days could shift the backdrop.
Coming up
- US: Jobless claims
- US: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
- US: Producer prices · expected 0.4%, previous 0.7%
Economic data for MOVE
Full calendarRecently released
- TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%
- TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%
- TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%
- TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298
- TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%
- TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%
- TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896
Coming up
- November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
- November 12, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 2 days
- November 13, 2026USDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 2 days
- November 13, 2026USDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 2 days
- November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 6 days
- November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 6 days
All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value.
Both worlds over time
Technical and news signals of the last 90 days on one timeline.
What is being reported about MOVE
Frequently asked questions about Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate (MOVE) Index
What is the latest news on MOVE?
The Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate, or MOVE, has one fresh item: a notice confirming that third quarter 2026 results are due before market open on November 12, 2026. It contains no revenue, profit or guidance figures, so it does not materially change the outlook; the actual report will.
What should I watch in the November 12 report?
The scheduling announcement gave no financial detail, so there is nothing to compare against yet. Results that come in clearly better or worse than expectations are what would move the price and end the current neutral stance. Anything in line is likely to leave the picture much as it is.
Is there a price trend or level to lean on?
No. There is no usable price history yet, so no chart direction, support or resistance can be quoted and the outlook windows are not shown. Until enough history builds up, judgement rests on the news side, chiefly the third quarter results on November 12.
📝 Overview Generated automatically
MOVE has been the subject of 3 signals across 3 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bearish (67%).
Breakdown: 0 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral.
Most-cited catalysts: World Cup season historically curtails trading activity and event risk (1×), Third quarter 2026 financial results due before market open on November 12, 2026 (1×). Most-cited risk factors: Unexpected central bank announcements could spike volatility (1×), Market participants may not follow seasonal patterns (1×), No financial figures or guidance are included in the announcement. (1×).
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