EUR/CHF – 30M – COMPRA

COMPRA 7× ACTUALIZADO CLOSED
hace 43 días
Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 11.9 % vs 9.0 % (Forex, 159 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
EUR/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 30m 14%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)break + retest fibonacci 2.85
CCI OS Exit indicator 2.00
WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.91
Support Level Retreat Upcontinuation sr 1.89
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.87
Trendline Retreat Upcontinuation trendline 1.78
STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.70
Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.25

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTendencia formándose
30M
DOWNTendencia sólida
1H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
2H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
4H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
8H
UPTendencia formándose
12H
UPTendencia formándose
1D
UPTendencia formándose

Analysis

🎯 Conclusiones principales
  • A cluster of bullish signals on the 30M chart suggests a potential bounce from support, but the broader trend is still bearish on lower timeframes.
  • Key resistance at 0.93450 is the immediate upside target; a break above could signal a trend reversal, while a failure to hold support at 0.93173 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • Oversold oscillator exits and a bullish candlestick pattern indicate fading downside momentum, but confirmation from higher timeframes is lacking.
  • The signal is best treated as a counter-trend opportunity unless the 30M trend score flips bullish.
The 30-minute EUR/CHF chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 0% level, a Belt Hold Bullish candlestick, and a Support Level Retreat Up. These are reinforced by oscillator exits from oversold conditions (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and a BOP zero cross up, suggesting that downside momentum is waning and buyers are stepping in near a key support zone. However, the broader trend picture is mixed: while the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are showing early bullish formation, the 15M to 4H timeframes remain bearish, with the 30M itself still classified as a solid downtrend. This suggests the current bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure, and its sustainability is uncertain unless higher timeframes confirm a shift.

The immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 0.93450, which aligns with the Fibonacci level and could act as a barrier to further upside. A break above that level would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure to hold above the nearest support at 0.93173 would invalidate the signal. Given the conflicting trend alignment across timeframes, traders should watch for price action around these levels and monitor whether the 30M trend score improves from its current bearish reading. The confluence of multiple oversold indicators and a bullish candlestick pattern adds weight to the signal, but the lack of higher timeframe support is a key risk.
Catalizadores
  • Multiple oversold indicators (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) exiting oversold territory suggest buying pressure is emerging.
  • A Bullish Engulfing-like Belt Hold candlestick pattern at a support level indicates strong buying interest.
  • Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 0% level and a Trendline Retreat Up add technical confluence.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are showing early bullish trends, which could eventually align with the 30M signal.
Factores de riesgo
  • The 15M to 4H timeframes are all bearish, with the 30M trend still classified as a solid downtrend, so the signal may be a counter-trend bounce.
  • If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 0.93173, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.93450 could cap upside and lead to a reversal back down.
  • The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction that could undermine the signal's strength.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction COMPRA
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-08-06 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.93450 2026-08-05
S1 0.93173 2026-08-05
S2 0.93170 2026-08-05
S3 0.93103 2026-08-04

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