EUR/USD 1H VENTA

· hace 14 horas
VENTA
93%
▼ VENTA
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +33%
▲ Bullish 7% (3.13) ▼ Bearish 93% (42.09)
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Eventos para EUR/USD

Calendario completo
  • MananaEURWholesale Prices YoY (Jul)●●○Prevision 5.4%Anterior 4.9%en 13 h
  • MananaEURWholesale Prices MoM (Jul)●●○Prevision 0.4%Anterior -0.7%en 13 h
  • MananaEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Prevision 2.1%Anterior 1.8%en 13 h

Todas las horas UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Triple Top chart_pattern 3.20
Double Top chart_pattern 2.97
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.53
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.03
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.01
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.01
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.98
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.97
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.97
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.95
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.92
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.57
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.09
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.08
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
30M
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
1H
UPLateral / sin dirección
2H
UPLateral / sin dirección
4H
UPLateral / sin dirección
8H
UPLateral / sin dirección
12H
UPTendencia formándose
1D
UPTendencia sólida

Analysis

🎯 Conclusiones principales
  • Strong bearish signal on 1H with 18 signals, including Double Top, Triple Top, and Trendline Break Down, pointing to a short-term sell opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes (1H to 8H) are bullish, so this is a counter-trend signal; expect possible pullbacks or limited downside if the broader uptrend resumes.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.15625 and support at 1.15172; a break below support confirms bearish continuation, while reclaiming resistance invalidates the signal.
  • Momentum indicators (STOCH, WILLR, BOP) align with the bearish move, but the overall market is choppy, so trade with tight risk management.
The 1H EUR/USD signal is strongly bearish, firing a dense cluster of 18 signals including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Triple Top, and multiple momentum indicators (STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BOP Zero Cross Down). The confluence of chart patterns and momentum shifts suggests a clear short-term reversal from the recent highs, with price retreating from a key resistance zone. However, the broader trend remains bullish across higher timeframes (1H to 8H are bullish, though choppy), and only the 12H and 1D show stronger bullish structure (trend forming and solid trend, respectively). This creates a conflict: the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe uptrend, which typically carries higher risk but can offer quick mean-reversion opportunities.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.15625 and support at 1.15172. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the very strong probability (98%) and the sheer number of signals, the short-term bias is clearly down, but traders should respect the higher-timeframe bullish trend and manage risk accordingly. The choppy nature across most timeframes (trend score 1/5) suggests a lack of strong directional momentum, so moves may be limited unless a breakout occurs.
Catalizadores
  • Confluence of multiple chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top) and a trendline break, reinforcing the bearish reversal.
  • Momentum indicators (STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BOP Zero Cross Down) all point to selling pressure.
  • Price retreating from a key resistance level (1.15625) with a high-probability signal (98%).
  • Signal strength is very strong, with 18 signals firing simultaneously, increasing the likelihood of a move.
Factores de riesgo
  • Higher timeframes (1H to 8H) are bullish, so the sell signal is counter-trend; the broader uptrend could resume and push price back up.
  • The trend is choppy/sideways across most timeframes (trend score 1/5), indicating weak momentum and potential for false breakouts.
  • If price reclaims the resistance at 1.15625, the bearish signal is invalidated, and a move higher could occur.
  • The 12H and 1D trends are bullish and strengthening, which may limit downside and attract buyers on dips.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction VENTA
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.15625 2026-08-12
R2 1.15652 2026-08-10
R3 1.15804 2026-08-07
S1 1.15172 2026-08-07
S2 1.15143 2026-08-06
S3 1.14999 2026-08-03

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