EUR/JPY 4H COMPRA

· hace 1 hora
COMPRA
89%
▲ COMPRA
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 36% historisch
▲ Bullish 89% (20.05) ▼ Bearish 11% (2.57)
EUR/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Eventos para EUR/JPY

Calendario completo
  • HoyJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Anterior 19.3en 2 h
  • HoyJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Anterior -406.9en 2 h
  • MananaEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Prevision 3.9%Anterior 3.8%en 7 h

Todas las horas UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Symmetrical Triangle chart_pattern 3.31
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.07
CCI OS Exit indicator 1.77
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.73
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.67
STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.66
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (38%) fibonacci 1.63
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.60
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.60
SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.43
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.41
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.31
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.31
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.31
EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.27
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.26
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.25
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.12
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
30M
DOWNTendencia sólida
1H
DOWNTendencia formándose
2H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
4H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
8H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
12H
DOWNTendencia formándose
1D
DOWNTendencia formándose

Analysis

🎯 Conclusiones principales
  • A cluster of bullish signals (trendline break, triangle breakout, momentum cross-ups) points to a potential reversal to the upside on the 4H chart.
  • The signal is very strong (88% probability), but the broader trend across timeframes is still bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
  • Key levels: resistance at 187.46700 (needs to be broken for confirmation), support at 183.15100 (invalidation level).
  • Watch for a close above resistance to confirm the bullish move; failure to hold above support would negate the signal.
The EUR/JPY 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Down, a Symmetrical Triangle breakout, and multiple zero-cross up signals from momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) alongside a CCI oversold exit and a STOCHRSI KD cross up. These signals collectively suggest a shift from bearish momentum to bullish reversal pressure, with the pattern breakout adding a technical confluence that strengthens the case for upward movement. The signal's very strong strength and 88% probability reflect a high degree of alignment among the indicators, though the broader trend across timeframes remains predominantly bearish, with only the 30m showing a solid trend. This suggests the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, and traders should watch for confirmation above the nearest resistance at 187.46700.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 187.46700, which if broken could open the door for further upside, and the nearest support at 183.15100, which serves as the invalidation zone for the bullish setup. The mixed trend picture—bearish on most timeframes but with choppy/sideways action on the 4H and 8H—implies that the bullish momentum may face overhead resistance. Traders should treat this as a potential short-term long opportunity within a bearish context, using the support level as a stop-loss reference and watching for a close above resistance to confirm a trend reversal.
Catalizadores
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing above zero, indicating a shift in buying pressure.
  • CCI oversold exit and STOCHRSI KD cross up suggest that the selling momentum is exhausted and a bounce is likely.
  • The Symmetrical Triangle breakout and Trendline Break Down provide chart pattern confluence, adding weight to the bullish signal.
  • The very strong signal strength and high probability reflect a high degree of alignment among the indicators.
Factores de riesgo
  • The overall trend across most timeframes (15m to 1d) is bearish, so the bullish signal could be a temporary correction within a downtrend.
  • The nearest resistance at 187.46700 is a significant hurdle; if not broken, the upside may be limited.
  • The 4H and 8H trends are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • If price falls below the nearest support at 183.15100, the bullish setup would be invalidated, and the bearish trend could resume.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction COMPRA
Probability 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 187.46700 2026-07-29
S1 183.15100 2026-08-12
S2 181.31200 2026-08-07
S3 179.36400 2026-08-03

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