USD/JPY – 8H – VENTA

VENTA NUEVO
hace 1 hora
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
157.984
Target
157.520 +0.29 %
closes in profit
Stop
158.454 −0.30 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 47 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 207 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 207 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.67 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.40 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.39 % 20 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.7 % – first candle
MODERATE Swing
▲ Bullish 29 % (5.16) ▼ Bearish 71 % (12.52)
model score 70.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 489 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 2.01
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.98
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.63
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.56
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.41
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.28
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.28
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.23
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.17
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.15
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
30M
UPLateral / sin dirección
1H
UPLateral / sin dirección
2H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
4H
DOWNTendencia formándose
8H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
12H
UPLateral / sin dirección
1D
UPLateral / sin dirección

Analysis

🎯 Conclusiones principales
  • Señal bajista en 8H con múltiples indicadores de retroceso alineados.
  • Tendencia mixta en los marcos de tiempo – bajista en 4H/8H, alcista en 1H/12H/1D.
  • Resistencia clave en 158.45400; soporte en 157.52000.
  • AO Saucer Bullish sugiere un posible rebote a corto plazo, pero el sesgo general es bajista.
La señal de 8H para USD/JPY es firmemente bajista, impulsada por un conjunto de señales de retroceso en múltiples indicadores: BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down y MIDPRICE Retreat Down. Todas apuntan a una pérdida de impulso alcista y un cambio hacia presión vendedora. Sin embargo, la señal AO Saucer Bullish sugiere que la caída inmediata podría ser limitada y que podría ocurrir un rebote a corto plazo antes de que se reanude la tendencia bajista.

En los marcos de tiempo, la tendencia es mixta y agitada, con los marcos de 4H y 8H mostrando sesgo bajista, mientras que los de 1H, 12H y 1D son alcistas. Esta falta de alineación indica que la señal bajista aún no está confirmada por los marcos de tiempo superiores. La resistencia más cercana en 158.45400 es un nivel clave a observar; una ruptura por encima invalidaría la configuración bajista. Por el contrario, un movimiento por debajo del soporte más cercano en 157.52000 fortalecería el caso bajista y podría abrir la puerta a más caídas.
Catalizadores
  • ▼ Múltiples señales de retroceso (EMA, DEMA, MA, midpoint, midprice) apuntan todas a un desvanecimiento del impulso alcista.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indica que la presión vendedora está ganando fuerza.
  • ▼ Las tendencias de 4H y 8H son bajistas, alineándose con la dirección de la señal.
  • ▼ La resistencia en 158.45400 es una barrera fuerte que podría limitar cualquier potencial alcista.
Factores de riesgo
  • ▲ Los marcos de tiempo superiores (1H, 12H, 1D) son alcistas, lo que podría anular la señal bajista de 8H.
  • ▲ AO Saucer Bullish sugiere un posible rebote, lo que podría retrasar la caída.
  • ▲ Una ruptura por encima de 158.45400 invalidaría la configuración bajista.
  • ▲ El mercado general está agitado/lateral, lo que reduce la fiabilidad de las señales de seguimiento de tendencia.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction VENTA
Conviction 71%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-16 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.45400 2026-10-01
R2 160.38900 2026-09-02
R3 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 157.52000 2026-10-08
S2 156.37600 2026-09-30
S3 152.88300 2026-09-08

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