USD/JPY – 1D – COMPRA

COMPRA 2× ACTUALIZADO
hace 5 días
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.60 %
Entry
156.860
Target
160.389 +2.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
152.883 −2.54 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,854 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 5,854 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
46.9 % ↓ −14.1 vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 97 % (48.19) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.24)
model score 40.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 4 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Eventos para USD/JPY

Calendario completo
  • HoyUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Anterior 5.085%en 3 h
  • HoyJPYUnemployment Rate●●○en 9 h
  • HoyJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Prevision 2.5%Anterior 2.7%en 9 h

Todas las horas UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 1d 40%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.18
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.17
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.94
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.92
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.61
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.58
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.41
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.20
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.09
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 0.87
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.67

Trend Context

15M
UPLateral / sin dirección
30M
UPLateral / sin dirección
1H
DOWNTendencia formándose
2H
DOWNTendencia sólida
4H
DOWNTendencia sólida
8H
DOWNTendencia formándose
12H
DOWNLateral / sin dirección
1D
DOWNLateral / sin dirección

Analysis

🎯 Conclusiones principales
  • Las señales alcistas diarias son débiles (59 %) y entran en conflicto con los marcos temporales superiores bajistas.
  • Vigile la resistencia en 160.389 y el soporte en 152.883 como niveles de decisión críticos.
  • Los indicadores de momentum (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) muestran presión alcista temprana pero sin confirmación.
  • Las tendencias de los marcos temporales superiores (2h-8h) son bajistas, lo que sugiere un posible movimiento de contra-tendencia.
La señal USD/JPY 1D agrega un grupo de indicadores de momentum y osciladores—BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, CTI OS Entry y ERI BULL Zero Cross Down—sugiriendo presión alcista temprana en el marco temporal diario. Sin embargo, la probabilidad general es moderada al 59 % con fuerza débil, y los marcos temporales superiores (2h, 4h, 8h) permanecen bajistas con tendencias sólidas, creando un telón de fondo conflictivo. La tendencia diaria es irregular, lo que indica que las señales alcistas podrían representar una corrección de contra-tendencia en lugar de una reversión sostenida.

Los niveles clave a monitorear son la resistencia más cercana en 160.389 y el soporte en 152.883. Una ruptura por encima de la resistencia confirmaría el momentum alcista, mientras que un movimiento por debajo del soporte invalidaría la señal. Dadas las tendencias bajistas en los marcos temporales superiores, los operadores deberían esperar un potencial alcista limitado a menos que el momentum diario se fortalezca y se alinee con la dirección a largo plazo.
Catalizadores
  • ▲ Múltiples señales de osciladores (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, CTI) se alinean en el marco temporal diario.
  • ▲ DX Trend Strong indica fortaleza de tendencia subyacente en la vista diaria.
  • ▲ Las señales de cruce ERI BULL y KST añaden confluencia al caso alcista.
Factores de riesgo
  • ▼ Las tendencias bajistas en los marcos temporales de 2h, 4h y 8h podrían anular la señal diaria.
  • ▼ La débil fuerza de la señal y la probabilidad moderada reducen la convicción.
  • ▼ Una caída por debajo del soporte de 152.883 invalidaría el escenario alcista.
  • ▼ La tendencia diaria irregular sugiere bajo momentum, arriesgando una falsa ruptura.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1D
Direction COMPRA
Conviction 40%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.38900 2026-09-02
R2 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 152.88300 2026-09-08

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