EUR/JPY – 4H – ACHAT
ACHAT 2× ACTUALISÉ CLOSED
il y a 43 jours
⚠ Opened against the trend in
5 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 10.1 %
vs 17.9 % average ·
stopped out 11.9 %
vs 9.0 %
(Forex, 159 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
Loading…
Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.70 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.58 |
| ▼ | Bear Flagstate only | chart_pattern | 2.47 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)state only | fibonacci | 1.45 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.85 |
Trend Context
15MUPTendance naissante
30MUPTendance naissante
1HUPSans direction
2HDOWNTendance naissante
4HDOWNTendance solide
8HDOWNTendance très forte
12HDOWNTendance solide
1DDOWNSans direction
Analysis
🎯 Points clés
- A cluster of bullish signals on the 4H chart suggests a potential upward move, but the larger trend is bearish, so this may be a counter-trend rally.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 187.46700 and support at 179.36400; a break above or below these levels will confirm direction.
- Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong downtrend, indicating that the bullish signal might be a pullback within a larger downtrend.
- The signal has a high probability (84%) and strong strength, but caution is advised due to conflicting trend signals across timeframes.
The 4H chart for EUR/JPY has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bear Flag pattern, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OB Exit, and several retreat-up signals (MAMA, MIDPOINT, SMA). These suggest that the recent bearish move may be pausing or reversing, with buyers stepping in after a period of selling pressure. The confluence of these signals on the 4H timeframe points to a potential upward correction or trend reversal, especially as the price approaches the nearest support at 179.36400. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes show bullish formation, the higher timeframes (2H through 12H) remain bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong downtrend. This suggests that any bullish move on the 4H could be counter-trend and may face strong resistance from the larger bearish structure.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 187.46700, which aligns with the prior highs and could cap upside, and the nearest support at 179.36400, which is the immediate floor. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend. The signal probability is high at 84% with strong strength, but given the conflicting higher timeframe trends, traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation, such as a close above key resistance or a sustained move higher on higher timeframes.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 187.46700, which aligns with the prior highs and could cap upside, and the nearest support at 179.36400, which is the immediate floor. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend. The signal probability is high at 84% with strong strength, but given the conflicting higher timeframe trends, traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation, such as a close above key resistance or a sustained move higher on higher timeframes.
Catalyseurs
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals firing together on the 4H chart, including a Bear Flag pattern and several retreat-up signals, indicate strong buying interest.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are showing bullish trend formation, suggesting that short-term momentum is aligning with the 4H signal.
- ▲ The price is near the nearest support at 179.36400, which could act as a springboard for a bounce if it holds.
- ▲ The signal's high probability and strong strength scores suggest that the technical setup is robust.
Facteurs de risque
- ▼ The higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong downtrend, which could overpower the 4H bullish signal and lead to a failed rally.
- ▼ The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction in the medium term, which could lead to whipsaws.
- ▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 179.36400, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the downtrend could resume.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 187.46700 is a significant level; if the price fails to break above it, the bullish move could stall and reverse.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
ACHAT
Conviction
18%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-08-05 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 187.46700 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 179.36400 | 2026-08-03 |