Earnings report 📈 Stocks 🌍 Iceland

Sjova Raises 2026 Underwriting Guidance After Strong 90.8% Combined Ratio

Sjóvá reports a strong 90.8% combined ratio for the first nine months of 2026, prompting an upward revision to its annual underwriting guidance despite softer investment performance.

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SJOVA
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Sjóvá reported strong underwriting performance for the first nine months of 2026, with a combined ratio of 90.8% and no major losses, leading the company to upwardly revise its 2026 underwriting profit guidance to 2,700–2,900 m.kr. While underwriting remains robust, investment returns have lagged expectations due to challenging Icelandic market conditions, high inflation, and rising interest rates, which have negatively impacted the company's equity portfolio.

Catalysts
  • ▲ Upward revision of 2026 underwriting profit guidance to 2,700–2,900 m.kr.
  • ▲ Improvement in the 2026 combined ratio forecast to approximately 92%.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Continued volatility and poor performance in the Icelandic securities market.
  • ▼ Persistent inflation and high real interest rates impacting investment returns.
▼ Show FAQ (3) ▲ Hide FAQ
What is the new guidance for the 2026 combined ratio?

Sjóvá has updated its guidance for the combined ratio to approximately 92%, compared to the previous range of 93–95%.

How is Sjóvá addressing inflation for its customers?

The company has launched a '2.5% path' initiative, capping price increases on household vehicle insurance at 2.5% (the Central Bank's inflation target) through the end of 2027.

What was the impact of investment returns in Q3 2026?

Investment returns were 472 m.kr. in Q3, with a 0.9% return on managed assets, which the company noted was significantly below expectations due to poor performance in equity markets.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Underwriting guidance for 2026 increased to 2.7–2.9 billion ISK from the previous 1.8–2.5 billion ISK range.
  • Combined ratio remains strong at 90.8% for the nine-month period, with 89.9% achieved in Q3.
  • Investment returns of 963 million ISK fell below expectations due to persistent inflation and high real interest rates in Iceland.
  • The company continues its share buyback program, having repurchased 0.7% of outstanding shares for 335 million ISK.

📝 Executive Summary

Icelandic insurer Sjóvá-Almennar tryggingar hf. reported a solid nine-month profit of 1.9 billion ISK, supported by a robust 90.8% combined ratio. While investment returns lagged due to challenging Icelandic market conditions, the company raised its 2026 underwriting guidance to a range of 2.7–2.9 billion ISK, citing favorable claims development and operational efficiency.

❓ FAQ

Why did Sjóvá raise its underwriting guidance for 2026?

The guidance was raised due to favorable claims development and a strong combined ratio performance, which outperformed initial expectations despite stagnant revenue growth.

How did investment returns impact Sjóvá's overall performance?

Investment returns were 963 million ISK, which the company noted was below expectations, primarily due to poor performance in Icelandic equity markets and the impact of high interest rates.