News report ₿ Crypto 🌍 United States

Bitcoin Slips Below 100-Hour MA as Strong US Jobs Data Boosts Dollar

Bitcoin fell to $75,799 after a blowout US jobs report showed 165k new hires, pushing the cryptocurrency below its 100-hour moving average as investors recalibrate interest rate expectations.

🕐 1 min read

2 assets impacted (Crypto, Forex). Net bias: 1 Bullish, 1 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: BTC ↓ 5/10 (65% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (2)

BTC
Bearish 🤖 65%
📅 Short-term 🌍 GLOBAL · Explicit

Bitcoin extended its pullback from the month's high of $81,027 to about $75,799 on Friday, falling below the 100-hour moving average. The drop came amid strong US data (October NFP 165k vs 65k forecast), which supports hawkish Fed expectations and weighs on risk assets. A bounce from oversold 14-hour RSI suggests limited near-term rebound potential toward $78,599.

Catalysts
  • ▼ October US nonfarm payrolls of 165k beat the 65k forecast
  • ▼ Unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, hourly earnings up 0.4% MoM and 3.1% YoY, all beating forecasts
Risk Factors
  • ▲ 14-hour RSI has recovered from oversold levels, allowing a rebound toward $78,599-$81,027
  • ▲ 14-day RSI also avoided oversold conditions, keeping bulls in play toward $82,071-$87,645
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
Why is Bitcoin falling after the US jobs report?

The report was much stronger than expected, with 165k new jobs versus a 65k forecast, which points to a resilient US economy and can reduce hopes of interest rate cuts, weighing on Bitcoin.

What levels matter for Bitcoin now?

Bulls aim for a rebound toward $78,599 and possibly $81,027, while bears target drops to $73,228, $70,800, and in an extended decline $69,585 or lower.

USD
Bullish 🤖 70%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US ✨ Inferred

Friday's October nonfarm payrolls of 165k far exceeded the 65k forecast, unemployment fell to 4.1%, and wage growth beat at 0.4% MoM and 3.1% YoY. Consistently strong US data across the week (ISM Manufacturing 55.5, jobless claims 189k) supports expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve, which is positive for the dollar.

Catalysts
  • ▲ October NFP at 165k vs 65k forecast, unemployment down to 4.1%
  • ▲ Average hourly earnings +0.4% MoM and +3.1% YoY, both above expectations
Risk Factors
  • ▼ ISM Services PMI missed at 54.5 vs 54.8, a soft spot in the data run
  • ▼ Unit labor costs fell -0.7% vs +0.6% expected, which could ease inflation concerns
▼ Show FAQ (1) ▲ Hide FAQ
How did the US jobs report affect the dollar?

The strong October jobs report, with 165k new jobs versus 65k expected and a falling unemployment rate of 4.1%, is supportive for the dollar as it suggests the US economy remains robust.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin dropped below the 100-hour moving average following a stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls print of 165k.
  • Strong economic data, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and rising hourly earnings, supports a hawkish Fed stance, pressuring crypto.
  • Technical indicators show the 14-hour RSI recovering from oversold levels, with bulls targeting a rebound toward $78,599.

📝 Executive Summary

Bitcoin retreated to $75,799 on Friday, breaking below its 100-hour moving average as robust US labor market data fueled hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. October nonfarm payrolls surged to 165,000, significantly outperforming the 65,000 forecast, while unemployment dropped to 4.1%. The strengthening US dollar continues to weigh on risk assets, though technical indicators suggest a potential short-term rebound.

❓ FAQ

Why is Bitcoin falling after the US jobs report?

The report was much stronger than expected, with 165k new jobs versus a 65k forecast, which points to a resilient US economy and can reduce hopes of interest rate cuts, weighing on Bitcoin.

What levels matter for Bitcoin now?

Bulls aim for a rebound toward $78,599 and possibly $81,027, while bears target drops to $73,228, $70,800, and in an extended decline $69,585 or lower.