EUR/JPY 2H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
98%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.20) ▼ Bearish 98% (62.68)
EUR/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.18
STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.10
MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.72
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.67
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.39
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.37
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.23

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend Forming
30M
UPSolid Trend
1H
UPTrend Forming
2H
UPTrend Forming
4H
UPChoppy / Sideways
8H
UPTrend Forming
12H
UPChoppy / Sideways
1D
UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals cluster at resistance after an overbought condition, suggesting short-term exhaustion.
  • The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this sell signal may be a pullback, not a reversal.
  • Key support at 185.34200 and resistance at 186.66000 define the immediate range.
  • Weak trend scores on the 2H and lower timeframes reduce conviction in the bearish move.
The EUR/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals despite the broader bullish trend across timeframes. Multiple overbought exit signals (STOCH OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit) and bearish crossovers (MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Down) indicate short-term exhaustion. The Trendline Retreat Down and Resistance Level Retreat Down confirm rejection at a key resistance area, while the Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79% retracement) adds confluence of a potential reversal from a significant retracement level. However, the overall trend remains bullish across all timeframes, with only weak trend scores on the 2H and lower timeframes. This suggests the bearish signals may represent a corrective pullback within the larger uptrend rather than a trend reversal. The nearest support at 185.34200 is a critical level to watch; a break below could accelerate selling, while holding support would reinforce the bullish bias.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple overbought exit signals (STOCH, WILLR) and bearish crossovers (MACD, STOCHF).
  • Rejection at resistance level and trendline retreat confirm selling pressure.
  • Fibonacci 79% retracement level adds a strong technical resistance zone.
Risk Factors
  • The dominant trend is bullish across all timeframes, potentially overriding the bearish signal.
  • Weak signal strength (60%, weak) indicates limited downside momentum.
  • A break above resistance at 186.66000 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Choppy sideways trends on higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) suggest indecision, not a clear downtrend.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-27 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 186.66000 2026-07-23
S1 185.34200 2026-07-20
S2 184.32100 2026-07-13
S3 183.74900 2026-07-02

Tags

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