GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
91%
▲ Bullish 9% (4.20)
▼ Bearish 91% (44.50)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.11 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.15 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | T3 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 1.43 |
| ▼ | Advance Block | candlestick | 1.35 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.35 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.28 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.02 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / Sideways
30MDOWNTrend Forming
1HDOWNSolid Trend
2HDOWNTrend Forming
4HDOWNChoppy / Sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / Sideways
12HDOWNTrend Forming
1DUPTrend Forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals are clustered on the 1H chart, including a Double Top and Trendline Break Down.
- Momentum indicators (STOCHF, MACD) are aligning to the downside.
- The 79% Fibonacci retracement level acted as resistance, reinforcing the bearish case.
- Watch for a break below 217.514 support to confirm further downside.
GBP/JPY on the 1H timeframe has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top pattern, and a Double Top Retreat Up. The presence of both a Double Top and its subsequent retreat indicates strong rejection at the resistance zone. Additionally, the STOCHF KD Cross Down and MACD Signal Cross Up (which is a bearish crossover) confirm downward momentum, while the Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at 79% suggests a key retracement level that has held as resistance. The T3 Retreat Up and SAR Flip Bullish add to the bearish confluence, though the latter is a contrarian signal that may indicate a potential bounce. Overall, the 1H trend is solidly bearish with a strength score of 3/5, and the 30M and 2H timeframes also show bearish trends forming. However, the 15M and 1D timeframes are bullish, with the daily trend still forming, which introduces some uncertainty. Key levels to watch are resistance at 218.518 and support at 217.514. A break below support would reinforce the bearish bias, while a move above resistance could invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns (Double Top) and trendline break.
- ▼ Bearish momentum confirmed by STOCHF and MACD crossovers.
- ▼ Fibonacci retreat at 79% held as resistance, indicating strong selling pressure.
- ▼ Multiple timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) show bearish trends.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframe (1D) is still bullish, which may limit downside.
- ▲ The SAR Flip Bullish signal is contrarian and could indicate a potential reversal.
- ▲ Weak signal strength (58%) and choppy trends on 15M and 4H suggest possible false breakout.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 218.518, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
91%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-28 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 218.51800 | 2026-07-27 |
| R2 | 218.62300 | 2026-07-23 |
| R3 | 218.72100 | 2026-07-21 |
| S1 | 217.51400 | 2026-07-21 |