EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

2026-07-29 17:00 UTC · 12 hours ago

SELL

80%

▼ SELL

STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 20% (6.33) ▼ Bearish 80% (25.55)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Triple Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	2.21
▼	Double Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	2.17
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%)	fibonacci	1.87
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.73
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.03
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.03
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.01
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on 1H clash with bullish trend across most timeframes.
Retreat from trendline and bottom patterns suggests short-term selling pressure.
Key support at 186.180; a break could signal a deeper pullback.
Higher timeframe bullish trend may limit downside and favor buying dips.

The EUR/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, Double/Triple Bottom Retreat Down, AROON Cross Up, and multiple momentum crossovers. However, the broader trend structure is overwhelmingly bullish across all timeframes from 15m to daily, with only the 4H showing a bearish bias. This creates a clear conflict between the short-term bearish signals and the dominant bullish trend. The retreat from trendline and pattern levels suggests a potential pullback, but the strong uptrend on higher timeframes may limit downside. Key levels to watch are resistance at 186.679 and support at 186.180. A break below support could confirm a deeper correction, but the bullish trend likely remains intact unless price breaks lower timeframe trendlines.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple pattern retreat signals (Trendline, Double/Triple Bottom) indicate rejection of key levels.
▼ Momentum indicators (STOCHF, BOP) show bearish crossovers and negative volume flow.
▼ AROON indicators show strong uptrend but cross up may be fading.
▼ Signal strength is high (80%) with strong probability.

Risk Factors

▲ Bullish trend across all higher timeframes (15m to daily) contradicts the bearish signal.
▲ Choppy/sideways trend scores on most timeframes suggest lack of clear direction.
▲ Nearest support at 186.180 is close; a quick bounce could invalidate the sell.
▲ Fading momentum from AROON cross up may indicate exhaustion rather than reversal.