EUR/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-07-29 16:00 UTC 53 days ago

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Retreat Upcontinuation	trendline	2.10
▲	Support Level Retreat Upcontinuation	sr	2.10
▲	Triple Top Retreat Upcontinuation	chart_pattern	2.01
▲	Double Top Retreat Upcontinuation	chart_pattern	1.96
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%)continuation	fibonacci	1.83
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.02
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on 2H, indicating a potential reversal or continuation higher.
Key resistance at 1.14048 is the immediate upside target; support at 1.13529 must hold.
Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bearish, creating a conflicting outlook.
Strong signal probability (96%) and very strong strength suggest high conviction.

The EUR/USD has triggered a confluence of bullish signals on the 2H timeframe, including multiple retreats from trendlines and double/triple tops, along with crossovers in BOP, DI, DM, and STOCHF. This suggests a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. The 2H and 4H trends are bullish, albeit choppy, supporting the short-term upside. The nearest resistance at 1.14048 is a key level to watch, while support at 1.13529 has held. The high probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate robust signal alignment.

However, higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bearish, which could limit the upside. The MACD signal cross down adds a note of caution, suggesting potential fading momentum. The invalidation level is below the recent support at 1.13529. Traders should monitor price action near resistance for signs of rejection or continuation.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of trendline retreats, double/triple top retreats, and multiple crossovers (BOP, DI, DM, STOCHF) on 2H.
▲ Bullish trend on 2H and 4H timeframes, aligning with the signal direction.
▲ Support at 1.13529 has held, providing a base for the move.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (96%) indicate robust setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ MACD signal cross down suggests potential bearish momentum divergence.
▼ Failure to break above resistance at 1.14048 could lead to a pullback.
▼ Invalidation if price breaks below support at 1.13529.