USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

2026-07-29 03:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

SELL

94%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 6% (3.69) ▼ Bearish 94% (59.32)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.04
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.54
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.40
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.39
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)	fibonacci	1.26
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.15
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.01
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.85
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.79
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.50

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

UPChoppy / Sideways

12H

UPTrend Forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicator zero-cross downs and a trendline retreat signal strong bearish momentum on the 1H chart.
Higher timeframes (4H to daily) remain bullish, creating a conflict that may limit downside.
Key support at 163.325 is the immediate target; a break below could shift the medium-term outlook.
The dense signal cluster increases conviction, but the choppy trend scores across timeframes warrant caution.

USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, multiple zero-cross downs (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR), and a strong DX Trend reading. This confluence suggests a coordinated shift in momentum and trend strength to the downside. However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed: lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are bearish but choppy, while higher timeframes (4h to daily) remain bullish. This creates a potential conflict where the 1H sell signal may represent a corrective move within a larger uptrend. The nearest support at 163.325 is a key level to watch; a break below could confirm a deeper reversal, while a bounce would reinforce the higher timeframe bullish bias. Resistance at 163.947 caps immediate upside.

Catalysts

▼ Over 15 individual bearish signals fired, including Trendline Retreat Down and multiple zero-cross downs, indicating strong selling pressure.
▼ DX Trend Strong signal confirms the presence of a trending move, not just noise.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 2h supports the 1H sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H to daily) are bullish, suggesting the 1H sell may be a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ Choppy/sideways trend scores (1/5) across most timeframes indicate weak trend conviction and potential for false breaks.
▲ Nearest support at 163.325 may hold, leading to a bounce; invalidation of the bearish signal would be a break above 163.947 resistance.

Symbol USD/JPY

Timeframe 1H

Direction SELL

Probability 94%

Strength VERY STRONG

Date 2026-07-29 03:00

cat_ Forex Forex