USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-07-29 02:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (74.92)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)	fibonacci	2.17
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	2.09
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.54
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend Forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

UPChoppy / Sideways

12H

UPTrend Forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossed below zero/midline, signaling strong bearish momentum.
The DX trend indicator confirms a strong trend, adding weight to the sell signal.
Near-term support at 163.32500 is the key level to watch; a break could accelerate selling.
Higher timeframes (4H to daily) are still bullish, creating a trend conflict that may limit downside.

USD/JPY on the 2H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and RSI all crossing below their zero or midline thresholds, alongside a strong DX trend reading. This confluence of oscillators indicates a decisive shift in short-term momentum to the downside. The bearish signal is further supported by additional patterns from support/resistance, candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups, reinforcing the sell bias.

However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed. The lower timeframes (15m to 2H) are bearish, but the higher timeframes (4H to daily) remain bullish, creating a potential conflict. The nearest support at 163.32500 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 163.98400 caps the upside. The strong probability (96%) suggests the bearish move may have legs, but traders should watch for a failure to break support or a reversal at higher timeframe trend lines.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 11+ momentum indicators all pointing bearish on the 2H timeframe.
▼ Strong trend score (DX) supporting the directional move.
▼ Additional signals from support/resistance, candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups align with the sell.
▼ Very high probability (96%) indicates robust signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H to daily) remain bullish, which could cap the bearish move or cause a reversal.
▲ The nearest support at 163.32500 may hold, leading to a bounce or consolidation.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price fails to break below support, especially given choppy sideways trends on several timeframes.
▲ A breakout above resistance at 163.98400 would invalidate the bearish setup.