AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-07-29 22:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

89%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 11% (3.66) ▼ Bearish 89% (29.44)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.14
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.68
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.43
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously on the 30m chart, indicating strong selling pressure.
Higher timeframes (4h-12h) are bearish, supporting a potential reversal despite short-term bullishness.
Key support at 113.42400 is critical; a break below confirms the bearish trend.
Resistance at 114.33100 must hold for the sell signal to remain valid.

The AUD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Down, ULTOSC and WILLR OB Exits, and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Down. This confluence suggests strong selling pressure at current levels, with multiple indicators simultaneously turning bearish after a period of overextension. The trend alignment shows a conflict: lower timeframes (15m to 2h) remain bullish with solid trends, while higher timeframes (4h to 12h) are bearish with forming or solid trends. This indicates a potential reversal from the short-term uptrend, as the higher timeframe bearish bias may dominate. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.33100 and support at 113.42400. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a failure to hold below resistance could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 8+ bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat, MACD, STOCH, and overbought exits.
▼ Bearish alignment on higher timeframes (4h-12h) with solid trend scores.
▼ Price retreating from EMA/SMA 200, indicating rejection at key moving averages.
▼ Strong signal probability (77%) and strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) remain bullish with solid trends, which could limit downside.
▲ The daily timeframe is bullish and choppy, providing a conflicting long-term bias.
▲ If price holds above 114.33100 resistance, the sell signal may fail and a breakout could occur.
▲ Fading momentum on the 30m could lead to a consolidation rather than a sustained move.