USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

2026-07-29 22:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

BUY

79%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 31% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 79% (36.82) ▼ Bearish 21% (9.66)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	3.12
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.25
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.09
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.99
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.88
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.80
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.68
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	Double Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	1.43
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.28
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.24

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on 2H, but overall direction is buy.
Short-term timeframes (15m-4H) are bearish, while higher timeframes (12H-1D) are bullish.
Key resistance at 163.947 and support at 163.325 are critical levels.
The buy signal is weak (56% probability) and may face headwinds from lower timeframe trends.

USD/JPY on the 2H timeframe is exhibiting a confluence of bearish signals despite the overall buy direction. The chart shows a trendline break down followed by a retreat up, a double top pattern with a subsequent retreat up, and multiple indicator confirmations including AROON cross down and BOP zero cross up. However, the trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish from 15m to 4H, with bullish trends only appearing on higher timeframes (12H and 1D). This creates a conflicting picture where short-term bearish momentum may outweigh the buy signal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 163.947 and support at 163.325. A break below support could invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of bearish patterns (double top, trendline break) on 2H.
▲ AROON cross down and strong downtrend indicators reinforce bearish momentum.
▲ BOP zero cross up suggests buying pressure may be emerging.
▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (12H, 1D) provide long-term support.

Risk Factors

▼ Short-term timeframes (15m-4H) are strongly bearish, conflicting with the buy signal.
▼ The buy signal is weak (56% probability) and may be a false positive.
▼ A break below support at 163.325 could invalidate the bullish case.
▼ Fading momentum on lower timeframes may lead to a reversal.