EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

2026-07-31 03:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

BUY

74%

▲ BUY

MODERATE

Intraday

Prognose: 28% historisch

⚡ Confluence +18%

▲ Bullish 74% (10.87) ▼ Bearish 26% (3.81)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.61
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.23
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	1.78
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.22
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%)	fibonacci	1.21
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 1H chart, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
The overall trend across higher timeframes remains bearish, suggesting this may be a counter-trend move.
Key resistance at 187.467 is critical; a break above could turn the trend bullish on lower timeframes.
Support at 182.117 must hold to maintain the bullish setup; a break below would invalidate the signals.

The EUR/JPY 1H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, DEMA Break Up, and multiple moving average breakouts (MAMA, MIDPRICE, T3). This suggests a strong short-term reversal from the prevailing bearish trend. The Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at the 50% level adds confluence, indicating a potential retracement within the larger downtrend. However, the higher timeframes (30m to 1d) remain bearish, with the 1H trend itself still bearish on a broader scale. This creates a conflicting picture: the bullish signals may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a sustained reversal. The nearest resistance at 187.467 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a shift in momentum, while failure to hold above support at 182.117 would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (CCI, MACD, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPRICE, T3) all pointing bullish.
▲ Fibonacci 50% retracement level acting as support for the bounce.
▲ Very strong signal probability (89%) and strength rating.
▲ Price breaking above several moving averages, suggesting momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (30m to 1d) are bearish, which may cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The 1H trend itself is still bearish; the signals may be a false breakout or a short-lived retracement.
▼ Fading momentum if the price fails to break resistance at 187.467.
▼ Conflicting STOCHF KD Cross Down signal, which indicates short-term overbought conditions.