USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-07-31 18:30 UTC · 18 hours ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (56.05)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Double Bottom	chart_pattern	3.50
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.66
▼	Double Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	2.17
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.86
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.69
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.58
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.34
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.26
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.25
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.83

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, pointing to continued downside.
All timeframes are bearish, with the 1-hour and 2-hour trends very strong, reinforcing the sell bias.
Watch the 160.87200 resistance as invalidation; a move above it would negate the bearish case.
The 158.54000 support is the key downside target; a break below could trigger further selling.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up (which, in this context, acts as a failed breakout and reversal), a Double Bottom Retreat Down, and a BOP Zero Cross Down, alongside CCI exiting oversold and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Down. These signals collectively suggest that the recent bounce off the double bottom has failed and that selling pressure is resuming. The trend is bearish across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily, with the 1-hour and 2-hour charts showing very strong trends (4/5), confirming that the short-term bearish move is part of a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 160.87200 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 158.54000 is the immediate downside target, and a break below it would likely accelerate the decline.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across timeframes: all timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, with strong trends on 1h and 2h.
▼ Confluence of bearish signals: Trendline Break Up, Double Bottom Retreat Down, and BOP Zero Cross Down all point to selling pressure.
▼ Momentum indicators (CCI, STOCHRSI) confirm bearish momentum after an oversold exit.
▼ Price is below the nearest resistance, keeping the bearish structure intact.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above 160.87200 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger short covering.
▲ The Double Bottom pattern may still be forming; if price holds above the support and rallies, the bearish signal could be a false breakout.
▲ The 8h and 1d trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the longer-term downtrend is not fully established, which could limit downside.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 30-minute trend weakens, leading to a consolidation phase.