AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
93%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 7% (3.00) ▼ Bearish 93% (42.40)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.41
TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.07
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.99
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.95
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.72
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.71
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.71
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.71
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.71
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
Hanging Man candlestick 0.86
Bearish Harami candlestick 0.79

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum across all major timeframes, with 30m and 1h showing very strong trends.
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, STOCHF, BBANDS, MA) all confirm the sell signal.
  • Watch for a break below nearest support at 109.37500 to confirm further downside.
  • Resistance at 110.23400 is the key level to monitor for any bullish reversal.
The AUD/JPY pair is exhibiting a robust bearish alignment across multiple timeframes, with the 30-minute chart showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and the 1-hour chart at an extreme 5/5. The signal is reinforced by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators all firing in the same direction: BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR have all crossed below zero, while STOCHF's KD lines have crossed down, and both BBANDS middle and moving averages (MA, TRIMA) are retreating lower. This confluence of signals suggests strong selling pressure with no conflicting bullish cues.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.23400, which could act as a pivot for any pullback, and the nearest support at 109.37500, which is the immediate downside target. Given the very strong trend scores on the 30m and 1h, and solid trends on higher timeframes, the path of least resistance is lower. However, the 15-minute and daily timeframes show only a forming trend (2/5), so there is a slight risk of a temporary consolidation or bounce before the next leg down.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across timeframes: 1h extremely strong (5/5) and 30m very strong (4/5) support the bearish direction.
  • Confluence of multiple indicator signals: BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, BBANDS, MA, and TRIMA all crossed down, reinforcing the sell signal.
  • Price is likely below key moving averages, with MA and TRIMA retreating, confirming bearish momentum.
  • Fibonacci and support/resistance groups add to the confluence, suggesting key levels are aligned with the downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • The 15-minute and daily timeframes show only a forming trend (2/5), indicating potential for a pullback or consolidation.
  • If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 110.23400, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
  • Momentum could fade if stochastic (STOCHF) reaches oversold levels, leading to a short-term bounce.
  • Higher timeframe (1d) is not yet fully bearish, so the trend may not be as strong on a longer horizon.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-03 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.23400 2026-08-03
R2 112.98000 2026-07-31
R3 113.95000 2026-07-30
S1 109.37500 2026-08-03

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