AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
93%
▲ Bullish 7% (3.00)
▼ Bearish 93% (42.40)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | TRIMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.07 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.99 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.86 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.79 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNExtremely strong trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum across all major timeframes, with 30m and 1h showing very strong trends.
- Multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, STOCHF, BBANDS, MA) all confirm the sell signal.
- Watch for a break below nearest support at 109.37500 to confirm further downside.
- Resistance at 110.23400 is the key level to monitor for any bullish reversal.
The AUD/JPY pair is exhibiting a robust bearish alignment across multiple timeframes, with the 30-minute chart showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and the 1-hour chart at an extreme 5/5. The signal is reinforced by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators all firing in the same direction: BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR have all crossed below zero, while STOCHF's KD lines have crossed down, and both BBANDS middle and moving averages (MA, TRIMA) are retreating lower. This confluence of signals suggests strong selling pressure with no conflicting bullish cues.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.23400, which could act as a pivot for any pullback, and the nearest support at 109.37500, which is the immediate downside target. Given the very strong trend scores on the 30m and 1h, and solid trends on higher timeframes, the path of least resistance is lower. However, the 15-minute and daily timeframes show only a forming trend (2/5), so there is a slight risk of a temporary consolidation or bounce before the next leg down.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.23400, which could act as a pivot for any pullback, and the nearest support at 109.37500, which is the immediate downside target. Given the very strong trend scores on the 30m and 1h, and solid trends on higher timeframes, the path of least resistance is lower. However, the 15-minute and daily timeframes show only a forming trend (2/5), so there is a slight risk of a temporary consolidation or bounce before the next leg down.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across timeframes: 1h extremely strong (5/5) and 30m very strong (4/5) support the bearish direction.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals: BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, BBANDS, MA, and TRIMA all crossed down, reinforcing the sell signal.
- ▼ Price is likely below key moving averages, with MA and TRIMA retreating, confirming bearish momentum.
- ▼ Fibonacci and support/resistance groups add to the confluence, suggesting key levels are aligned with the downtrend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15-minute and daily timeframes show only a forming trend (2/5), indicating potential for a pullback or consolidation.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 110.23400, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if stochastic (STOCHF) reaches oversold levels, leading to a short-term bounce.
- ▲ Higher timeframe (1d) is not yet fully bearish, so the trend may not be as strong on a longer horizon.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-03 19:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 110.23400 | 2026-08-03 |
| R2 | 112.98000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 113.95000 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 109.37500 | 2026-08-03 |
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