USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
79%
▲ Bullish 21% (5.13)
▼ Bearish 79% (19.76)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.83 |
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 3.65 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.82 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.51 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.80 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 0.89 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, including Double Top, Triple Top, and a trendline break down.
- All timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, with strong trend scores on the mid-term charts.
- The nearest resistance at 160.53100 is a key level; a break above it could invalidate the bearish setup.
- Short-term bullish signals (Belt Hold Bullish, BOP/STOCHF crosses) may cause a temporary bounce, but the trend remains down.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Double Top and Triple Top pattern, a trendline break to the downside, and a Fibonacci retracement at the 0% level, all pointing to sustained selling pressure. The candlestick pattern (Belt Hold Bullish) and short-term indicator crosses (BOP and STOCHF) suggest a minor upward bounce, but these are likely corrective within the larger downtrend. The trend across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, is consistently bearish, with strong trend scores (4/5) on the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour charts, confirming that the bearish momentum is well-established.
Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 160.53100, which could act as a ceiling for any corrective moves. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should watch for a break below recent swing lows to confirm continuation. The confluence of multiple bearish signals across different pattern types (chart patterns, trendlines, and Fibonacci) strengthens the case for a continued decline, but the presence of bullish short-term signals and the lack of a defined support level introduce some uncertainty. Overall, the bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the resistance and the broader trend remains down.
Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 160.53100, which could act as a ceiling for any corrective moves. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should watch for a break below recent swing lows to confirm continuation. The confluence of multiple bearish signals across different pattern types (chart patterns, trendlines, and Fibonacci) strengthens the case for a continued decline, but the presence of bullish short-term signals and the lack of a defined support level introduce some uncertainty. Overall, the bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the resistance and the broader trend remains down.
Catalysts
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on the 30m, 1h, and 2h charts.
- ▼ Confluence of bearish chart patterns (Double Top and Triple Top) and a trendline break down.
- ▼ Fibonacci retracement at 0% level, indicating that the retracement has fully reversed, aligning with the downtrend.
- ▼ Strong overall signal probability of 77% with a 'strong' strength rating.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The Belt Hold Bullish candlestick and bullish crosses on BOP and STOCHF suggest potential short-term upward pressure.
- ▲ The nearest resistance at 160.53100 could be tested; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ No defined support level means the downside could be open, but also increases uncertainty about where the move might stall.
- ▲ If the broader trend (e.g., daily) shows signs of reversal, the bearish momentum could fade.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
79%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-03 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 160.53100 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 160.87200 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 163.73600 | 2026-07-30 |