AUD/JPY 1H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
78%
▲ BUY
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 28% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 78% (39.74) ▼ Bearish 22% (11.35)
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 3.28
Trendline Break Up trendline 3.11
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.52
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.48
SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.24
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.21
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.10
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.65
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.60
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.28
Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.27
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.00
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.71

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signals on the 1H chart, including a falling wedge breakout and trendline break up.
  • Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, creating a conflict that may limit upside.
  • Watch resistance at 112.980 and support at 109.231 for confirmation or invalidation.
  • The bullish trend is still forming on the 1H, so momentum may need to build.
The 1H AUD/JPY signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge breakout, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA). These signals align on the 1H chart, indicating a strong bullish reversal attempt. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) remain bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong downtrend. This creates a conflict: the 1H bullish momentum is counter to the broader bearish trend, suggesting a potential counter-trend rally or a pullback within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.980 and support at 109.231. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case. The bullish signals on the 1H are strong, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframe alignment. The trend scores across timeframes are still forming (2/5) on the lower timeframes, indicating that the bullish trend is not yet fully established.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 1H (trendline, pattern, indicators).
  • Falling wedge breakout is a classic reversal pattern.
  • BOP zero cross up and STOCH KD cross up indicate improving buying pressure.
  • Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) suggest price is pulling back to support within an uptrend.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe bearish trends (4H very strong) could overwhelm the 1H bullish move.
  • Resistance at 112.980 is nearby and could cap upside.
  • Trend scores on 1H are only 2/5, indicating the bullish trend is not yet fully developed.
  • If price falls below support at 109.231, the bullish signals would be invalidated.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 78%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-04 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.98000 2026-07-31
R2 113.95000 2026-07-30
R3 114.11000 2026-07-29
S1 109.23100 2026-08-03

Tags

Similar Signals