AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY
78%
▲ Bullish 78% (39.74)
▼ Bearish 22% (11.35)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 3.28 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 3.11 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.48 |
| ▲ | SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.65 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 1.27 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.71 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signals on the 1H chart, including a falling wedge breakout and trendline break up.
- Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, creating a conflict that may limit upside.
- Watch resistance at 112.980 and support at 109.231 for confirmation or invalidation.
- The bullish trend is still forming on the 1H, so momentum may need to build.
The 1H AUD/JPY signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge breakout, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA). These signals align on the 1H chart, indicating a strong bullish reversal attempt. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) remain bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong downtrend. This creates a conflict: the 1H bullish momentum is counter to the broader bearish trend, suggesting a potential counter-trend rally or a pullback within a larger downtrend.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.980 and support at 109.231. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case. The bullish signals on the 1H are strong, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframe alignment. The trend scores across timeframes are still forming (2/5) on the lower timeframes, indicating that the bullish trend is not yet fully established.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.980 and support at 109.231. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case. The bullish signals on the 1H are strong, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframe alignment. The trend scores across timeframes are still forming (2/5) on the lower timeframes, indicating that the bullish trend is not yet fully established.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 1H (trendline, pattern, indicators).
- ▲ Falling wedge breakout is a classic reversal pattern.
- ▲ BOP zero cross up and STOCH KD cross up indicate improving buying pressure.
- ▲ Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) suggest price is pulling back to support within an uptrend.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (4H very strong) could overwhelm the 1H bullish move.
- ▼ Resistance at 112.980 is nearby and could cap upside.
- ▼ Trend scores on 1H are only 2/5, indicating the bullish trend is not yet fully developed.
- ▼ If price falls below support at 109.231, the bullish signals would be invalidated.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
78%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-04 17:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.98000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 113.95000 | 2026-07-30 |
| R3 | 114.11000 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |
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