AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
84%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 16% (5.31) ▼ Bearish 84% (28.13)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.69
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.33
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.91
TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.85
HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.80
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.68
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.62
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.88
Short Line Bearish candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term sell opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, confirming the downtrend.
  • Watch for a break below the nearest support at 109.23100 to confirm further downside.
  • The nearest resistance at 111.02100 is a key level to monitor for potential reversals.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up followed by a Trendline Retreat Down, a BOP Zero Cross Down, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, and a TEMA Retreat Down. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is fading and that sellers are regaining control on the short-term timeframe. The presence of a Long Legged Doji candlestick pattern adds to the indecision, but the overall signal cluster points to a potential downward move.

Aligning the 30-minute bearish signals with the higher timeframes reveals a strong alignment: the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bearish, with the 4-hour showing a very strong trend (4/5). This suggests that the short-term sell signal is likely a continuation of the broader downtrend rather than a counter-trend move. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.02100, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, and the nearest support at 109.23100, which is the primary downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines.
Catalysts
  • Strong alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes (4H very strong).
  • Confluence of signals: Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, TEMA Retreat Down.
  • Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) suggests price has broken below a key retracement level.
  • Long Legged Doji indicates potential reversal from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Risk Factors
  • The 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to short-term counter-trend rallies.
  • The nearest resistance at 111.02100 is close; if price breaks above it, the bearish signal may be invalidated.
  • Momentum may be fading as indicated by the moderate strength of the signals.
  • The 30-minute trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the short-term direction is not yet fully established.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 84%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-04 20:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.02100 2026-08-04
R2 112.98000 2026-07-31
R3 113.95000 2026-07-30
S1 109.23100 2026-08-03

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