AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
84%
▲ Bullish 16% (5.31)
▼ Bearish 84% (28.13)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.69 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.33 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.91 |
| ▼ | TEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Cross Up | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.62 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.88 |
| ▼ | Short Line Bearish | candlestick | 0.81 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term sell opportunity.
- Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, confirming the downtrend.
- Watch for a break below the nearest support at 109.23100 to confirm further downside.
- The nearest resistance at 111.02100 is a key level to monitor for potential reversals.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up followed by a Trendline Retreat Down, a BOP Zero Cross Down, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, and a TEMA Retreat Down. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is fading and that sellers are regaining control on the short-term timeframe. The presence of a Long Legged Doji candlestick pattern adds to the indecision, but the overall signal cluster points to a potential downward move.
Aligning the 30-minute bearish signals with the higher timeframes reveals a strong alignment: the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bearish, with the 4-hour showing a very strong trend (4/5). This suggests that the short-term sell signal is likely a continuation of the broader downtrend rather than a counter-trend move. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.02100, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, and the nearest support at 109.23100, which is the primary downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines.
Aligning the 30-minute bearish signals with the higher timeframes reveals a strong alignment: the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bearish, with the 4-hour showing a very strong trend (4/5). This suggests that the short-term sell signal is likely a continuation of the broader downtrend rather than a counter-trend move. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.02100, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, and the nearest support at 109.23100, which is the primary downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes (4H very strong).
- ▼ Confluence of signals: Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, TEMA Retreat Down.
- ▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) suggests price has broken below a key retracement level.
- ▼ Long Legged Doji indicates potential reversal from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to short-term counter-trend rallies.
- ▲ The nearest resistance at 111.02100 is close; if price breaks above it, the bearish signal may be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may be fading as indicated by the moderate strength of the signals.
- ▲ The 30-minute trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the short-term direction is not yet fully established.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
84%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-04 20:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.02100 | 2026-08-04 |
| R2 | 112.98000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 113.95000 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |