AUD/USD – 2H – SELL
SELL
86%
▲ Bullish 14% (2.22)
▼ Bearish 86% (13.84)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.10 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.73 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 1.27 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.17 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 1.11 |
| ▲ | Takuri Line | candlestick | 1.06 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▲ | Dragonfly Doji | candlestick | 0.83 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart: multiple patterns and indicators align for a sell.
- Watch the 0.70497 resistance; failure to break it supports the bearish case.
- Immediate downside target is support at 0.69834; a break below could accelerate selling.
- Higher timeframe trend is mixed, but the 1D bearish bias adds weight to the sell signal.
The 2H chart for AUD/USD has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, a Double Bottom Retreat Down, a BOP Zero Cross Down, a STOCH KD Cross Down, a Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%), and multiple bearish candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line, Bearish Harami Cross). This confluence suggests strong selling pressure at current levels, with the pair likely to retreat from resistance. The 89% probability and very strong signal strength underscore the conviction behind this move.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h), but momentum is fading as higher timeframes show choppy or sideways action. The 1D timeframe is bearish, indicating a potential larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70497 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bearish signals are validated. The nearest support at 0.69834 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support could open the door to further declines, while a sustained move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h), but momentum is fading as higher timeframes show choppy or sideways action. The 1D timeframe is bearish, indicating a potential larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70497 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bearish signals are validated. The nearest support at 0.69834 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support could open the door to further declines, while a sustained move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (trendline, double bottom, BOP, stochastic, Fibonacci, candlestick) increases reliability.
- ▼ Fibonacci retreat at the 79% level suggests a strong resistance zone.
- ▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line, Bearish Harami Cross) confirm selling pressure.
- ▼ 1D timeframe is bearish, aligning with the 2H sell signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could counter the bearish move.
- ▲ If price breaks above 0.70497 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may be fading as higher timeframes show choppy/sideways action, reducing follow-through.
- ▲ The 2H trend itself is choppy (1/5), so the move could be limited.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
86%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-04 18:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70497 | 2026-08-03 |
| S1 | 0.69834 | 2026-08-03 |
| S2 | 0.69218 | 2026-07-29 |