EUR/JPY 2H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (32.21)
EUR/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 4.11
T3 Retreat Down indicator 2.46
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.44
STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 2.09
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.95
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.94
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart with multiple signals aligning.
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) show very strong downtrends, supporting a sell bias.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 187.467 and support at 179.364.
  • Counter-trend signals on lower timeframes and daily chart suggest possible pullbacks.
The EUR/JPY 2H signal is a strong bearish confluence, with a 94% probability and very strong trend strength. Multiple signals align to support a downward move: a Bear Flag pattern, a BOP Zero Cross Down indicating selling pressure, and a cluster of moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, T3) all pointing to a pullback within a downtrend. Additionally, a Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) suggests that the market has broken below a key retracement level, reinforcing bearish momentum. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up is a counter-signal, but in the context of a strong downtrend, it likely represents a minor pullback that could offer a better entry for sellers.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish on the higher frames. The 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes all show very strong bearish trends (4/5), while the 12H shows a solid bearish trend (3/5). However, the 15m, 1H, and 1D timeframes are bullish but choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating a lack of clear direction on those frames. This suggests that the bearish momentum is dominant on the trading timeframe and above, but caution is warranted due to conflicting signals on lower and daily frames. The nearest resistance is at 187.467, and support is at 179.364. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • Bear Flag pattern indicates a continuation of the downtrend.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down confirms bearish momentum.
  • Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, T3) align with the bearish move.
  • Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) signals a break below a key level.
Risk Factors
  • STOCHRSI KD Cross Up suggests a short-term bullish pullback, which could slow the bearish move.
  • Conflicting bullish trends on 15m, 1H, and 1D timeframes may lead to choppy price action.
  • A move above resistance at 187.467 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below support at 179.364.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-04 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 187.46700 2026-07-29
S1 179.36400 2026-08-03

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