EUR/USD – 1H – BUY

2026-08-04 06:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

BUY

95%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 95% (70.73) ▼ Bearish 5% (4.00)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.52
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	2.00
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.97
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.95
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.93
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	1.02
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.01
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.93
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 1H with 87% probability, driven by multiple indicators and patterns.
Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, but lower timeframes (15m-2H) are still bearish, so watch for confirmation.
Key levels: resistance at 1.15585 and support at 1.14999; a break above resistance confirms, below support invalidates.
The Fibonacci break at 0% and Bullish Harami Cross add confluence to the buy signal.

The EUR/USD 1H signal is a strong buy (87% probability) driven by a cluster of bullish signals: a trendline break down, trendline retreat up, BOP and CCI zero cross ups, T3 retreat up, Fibonacci break upTrend at 0%, and a Bullish Harami Cross. These signals collectively indicate a shift from bearish to bullish momentum on the 1H timeframe, with the price likely to push higher toward the nearest resistance at 1.15585. The Fibonacci break at the 0% level suggests that the retracement has completed and the uptrend is resuming.

However, the higher timeframe alignment is mixed. While the 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, the 15m through 2H timeframes are still bearish and choppy, indicating that the immediate trend is not yet confirmed. The 1H signal is a leading indicator, and the bullish momentum may need to overcome the bearish pressure on the lower timeframes. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.15585 and support at 1.14999. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish trend, while a break below support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing simultaneously (trendline, indicators, candlestick, Fibonacci) increase confidence.
▲ Higher timeframe trend (4H, 12H, 1D) is bullish, suggesting the 1H move may be part of a larger uptrend.
▲ Fibonacci break at 0% indicates the retracement is complete, supporting a continuation of the uptrend.
▲ Bullish Harami Cross is a strong reversal candlestick pattern, adding to the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2H) are bearish and choppy, which could lead to false breakouts or pullbacks.
▼ The 1H trend is still bearish on the 1H chart itself, so the signal is counter-trend on its own timeframe.
▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 1.14999, the signal is invalidated and a bearish move could follow.
▼ The 8H timeframe is only choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong momentum on that horizon.