USD/JPY 1H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
77%
▲ BUY
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 28% historisch
⚡ Confluence +22%
▲ Bullish 77% (39.26) ▼ Bearish 23% (11.88)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.12
CCI OS Exit indicator 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.39
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.39
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.35
CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.26
RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.26
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.23
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.15
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.12
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.09
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.09
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.09
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 0.90
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish signals on the 1H chart suggests a potential short-term bounce in USD/JPY.
  • The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend move with limited upside.
  • Key resistance at 160.87200 is the immediate target; a break above could signal a larger reversal.
  • Support at 156.23500 is the invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
The 1H USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and multiple zero-cross up signals (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR). The CCI OS Exit confirms the end of oversold conditions, while the DX Trend Weak suggests that the prevailing bearish momentum is losing steam. Together, these signals indicate a potential short-term reversal to the upside, likely targeting the nearest resistance at 160.87200. However, the broader trend remains bearish across all timeframes, with very strong trends on the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts. This suggests that the bullish signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, and the upside may be limited.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 160.87200 as a key level; a break above it could signal a more meaningful reversal, while a rejection could lead to a resumption of the downtrend. The nearest support at 156.23500 remains the critical level to watch for invalidation of the bullish setup. Given the conflicting timeframes, this signal should be treated as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, rather than a trend-following trade.
Catalysts
  • Multiple zero-cross up signals (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR) indicate strong bullish momentum alignment.
  • CCI oversold exit suggests the selling pressure is exhausting.
  • Trendline break down adds a technical pattern confluence.
  • DX trend weak indicates the bearish trend is losing strength.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) show very strong bearish trends, which could overpower the 1H bullish signal.
  • Nearest resistance at 160.87200 is a nearby opposing level that could cap upside.
  • If price fails to hold above the trendline break or breaks below 156.23500 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • Momentum indicators could fade quickly in a counter-trend move, leading to a false breakout.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 77%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-04 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.87200 2026-07-31
R2 163.73600 2026-07-30
R3 163.90400 2026-07-29
S1 156.23500 2026-08-03
S2 155.22400 2026-08-03

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