USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

2026-08-05 00:00 UTC · 15 hours ago

SELL

78%

▼ SELL

STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 28% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 22% (10.69) ▼ Bearish 78% (38.22)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	3.97
▼	CCI Hidden Bear Div	divergence	3.08
▲	Symmetrical Triangle	chart_pattern	2.98
▼	Williams %R Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.94
▼	AO Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.67
▼	Stoch Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.49
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.41
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.37
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.34
▼	Momentum Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.34
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.12
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.10
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.71
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.70
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.54
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.39
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 1H: Double Top, Symmetrical Triangle breakdown, and trendline breaks all point lower.
Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bearish and trending strongly, supporting the 1H sell signal.
Watch 157.95400 as resistance; a move back above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Immediate downside target is 156.23500; a break below could accelerate the decline.

The 1H USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Double Top, a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown, and multiple trendline breaks (Break Up, Retreat Down, Break Down). The ADXR Trend Weak reading suggests the recent uptrend lacked true strength, while MOM and ROC zero-cross ups indicate only short-lived momentum that has now reversed. This confluence of patterns and indicators points to a high-probability short setup, supported by an 82% probability and strong strength rating.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but favors the bearish case: the 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish but choppy (1/5 trend score), while the 2h through 1d timeframes are all bearish, with the 2h-8h showing very strong trends (4/5) and 12h/1d solid (3/5). This alignment of higher timeframes with the 1H sell signal adds conviction. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.95400, which should now act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 156.23500, which is the first downside target. A break below that support would open the door for further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish patterns (Double Top, Symmetrical Triangle) and trendline breaks align on the 1H chart.
▼ Higher timeframes (2H-8H) show very strong bearish trends, adding weight to the short bias.
▼ ADXR Trend Weak on 1H indicates the prior uptrend lacked strength, making it vulnerable to reversal.
▼ MOM and ROC zero-cross ups have rolled over, signaling faded upside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H timeframe and lower timeframes are still bullish (though choppy), which could lead to a bounce before the decline resumes.
▲ If price reclaims 157.95400, the bearish setup is invalidated and a move higher may follow.
▲ The symmetrical triangle breakdown could be a false signal if price quickly returns above the broken level.
▲ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC) may show a zero-cross up again if buying pressure returns, stalling the sell-off.