USD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
98%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.12)
▼ Bearish 98% (63.42)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.51 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.48 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.48 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.24 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.20 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.09 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | MACD Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.12 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H chart points to a strong sell opportunity.
- All timeframes are bearish, with 8H and 12H showing very strong trends, confirming the downtrend.
- Watch the nearest support at 155.224; a break below could accelerate downside, while resistance at 157.870 is the key invalidation level.
- The high probability (98%) and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but always manage risk.
The USD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to a strong and coherent bearish push. The alignment across timeframes is notably consistent: all timeframes from 15m up to 1D are bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing very strong trend scores (4/5). This multi-timeframe agreement reinforces the validity of the sell signal and suggests that the current downtrend is well established.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.870 and the nearest support at 155.224. A break below support would confirm continued downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and the broad bearish alignment, the path of least resistance is to the downside. However, traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum exhaustion or a reversal, especially if price approaches the support level and shows reversal patterns.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.870 and the nearest support at 155.224. A break below support would confirm continued downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and the broad bearish alignment, the path of least resistance is to the downside. However, traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum exhaustion or a reversal, especially if price approaches the support level and shows reversal patterns.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including trendline, momentum, and moving average retreats.
- ▼ Perfect multi-timeframe alignment: all timeframes bearish, with 8H and 12H showing very strong trends.
- ▼ Price is retreating from a trendline and key moving averages, indicating rejection of higher levels.
- ▼ The MACD and STOCHF zero-cross downs confirm bearish momentum shifts.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 157.870 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ If the 2H trend score (2/5) strengthens to bullish, it could signal a counter-trend move.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCHF shows a bullish crossover or if price forms a bullish reversal pattern near support.
- ▲ The 1D timeframe is only solid (3/5), not very strong, so the longer-term trend may be less decisive.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-07 18:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 157.87000 | 2026-08-05 |
| R2 | 157.95400 | 2026-08-04 |
| R3 | 163.90400 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 155.22400 | 2026-08-03 |
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