USD/JPY 2H SELL

· 19 hours ago
SELL
98%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.12) ▼ Bearish 98% (63.42)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.52
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.51
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.48
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.48
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.40
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.24
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.20
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.09
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.82
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.63
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
MACD Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.12

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H chart points to a strong sell opportunity.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with 8H and 12H showing very strong trends, confirming the downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest support at 155.224; a break below could accelerate downside, while resistance at 157.870 is the key invalidation level.
  • The high probability (98%) and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but always manage risk.
The USD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to a strong and coherent bearish push. The alignment across timeframes is notably consistent: all timeframes from 15m up to 1D are bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing very strong trend scores (4/5). This multi-timeframe agreement reinforces the validity of the sell signal and suggests that the current downtrend is well established.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.870 and the nearest support at 155.224. A break below support would confirm continued downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and the broad bearish alignment, the path of least resistance is to the downside. However, traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum exhaustion or a reversal, especially if price approaches the support level and shows reversal patterns.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including trendline, momentum, and moving average retreats.
  • Perfect multi-timeframe alignment: all timeframes bearish, with 8H and 12H showing very strong trends.
  • Price is retreating from a trendline and key moving averages, indicating rejection of higher levels.
  • The MACD and STOCHF zero-cross downs confirm bearish momentum shifts.
Risk Factors
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 157.870 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • If the 2H trend score (2/5) strengthens to bullish, it could signal a counter-trend move.
  • Momentum could fade if the STOCHF shows a bullish crossover or if price forms a bullish reversal pattern near support.
  • The 1D timeframe is only solid (3/5), not very strong, so the longer-term trend may be less decisive.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-07 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 157.87000 2026-08-05
R2 157.95400 2026-08-04
R3 163.90400 2026-07-29
S1 155.22400 2026-08-03

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