USD/JPY – 1D – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (14.13)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDExisting Home Sales MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast -0.7%Previous -2.4%in 34m
- TodayUSDExisting Home Sales (Jul)●●○Forecast 4.07MPrevious 4.09Min 34m
- TodayUSDAPI Crude Oil Stock Change (Aug/07)●●○Previous 2.69in 7h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | T3 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | Marubozu Bullish | candlestick | 1.03 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.99 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A cluster of bullish signals fired on the daily chart, including Bullish Engulfing and Marubozu Bullish, indicating strong buying pressure.
- The trend is mixed across timeframes: bullish on the 30m and 4h, but bearish on the 8h, 12h, and 1D, so this may be a counter-trend move.
- Immediate upside target is the resistance at 163.98400; a break above could signal a trend change, but until then the larger bearish trend persists.
- No clear support level is defined, so risk management is crucial; watch for invalidation if price fails to hold recent lows.
The USD/JPY 1D signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, KAMA Retreat Up, T3 Retreat Up, Bullish Engulfing, and Marubozu Bullish. These signals together suggest a strong bullish reversal attempt on the daily chart, with the candlestick patterns indicating a decisive shift in sentiment and the indicator signals pointing to renewed buying momentum. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 30m and 4h timeframes show solid bullish trends, the 8h, 12h, and 1D timeframes are bearish, with the 8h and 12h showing very strong bearish trends. This divergence means the bullish signals are firing against the higher-timeframe downtrend, so the move may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 163.98400, which is the immediate upside target. A break above this level could signal a shift in the larger trend, but until then, the bearish higher timeframes remain in control. The absence of a defined nearest support level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear invalidation point below. Traders should monitor price action around 163.98400 and watch for whether the bullish momentum can overcome the bearish pressure from the higher timeframes.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 163.98400, which is the immediate upside target. A break above this level could signal a shift in the larger trend, but until then, the bearish higher timeframes remain in control. The absence of a defined nearest support level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear invalidation point below. Traders should monitor price action around 163.98400 and watch for whether the bullish momentum can overcome the bearish pressure from the higher timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▲ Strong confluence of bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Engulfing, Marubozu Bullish) on the daily timeframe.
- ▲ Multiple indicator signals (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, KAMA Retreat Up, T3 Retreat Up) all aligning to support bullish momentum.
- ▲ Bullish trends on the 30m and 4h timeframes add near-term support to the move.
- ▲ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with 100% probability, reflecting high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (8h, 12h, 1D) are bearish, with the 8h and 12h showing very strong bearish trends, which could overwhelm the bullish signals.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 163.98400 is a significant barrier; failure to break above it could lead to a reversal back down.
- ▼ The absence of a defined support level means there is no clear invalidation point, increasing the risk of unexpected downside moves.
- ▼ Momentum may fade if the bullish signals are not confirmed by a break above resistance, especially given the conflicting daily bearish trend.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
1D
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 163.98400 | 2026-07-23 |
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