USD/JPY 2H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
87%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 40% historisch
⚡ Confluence +13%
▲ Bullish 87% (29.22) ▼ Bearish 13% (4.36)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.26
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.25
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.96
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.83
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.73
CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.68
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.64
CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.34
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.27
Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.08
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.81

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term momentum has flipped bullish on the 2H chart, but the higher-timeframe trend is still bearish.
  • The bullish signal is a confluence of momentum and mean-reversion indicators, but the DX Trend Weak suggests the larger downtrend is losing steam.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 158.570 and support at 155.224. A break above resistance could signal a larger reversal; a break below support invalidates the bullish setup.
  • The WILLR overbought and STOCHF KD cross down hint at possible near-term exhaustion, so a pullback may be healthy before further upside.
The 2H USD/JPY signal is a confluence of momentum and mean-reversion indicators turning bullish after a recent pullback. The CCI and CMO zero-line crosses, along with the RSI midline cross up, indicate a shift in short-term momentum from bearish to bullish. The price has reclaimed the middle Bollinger Band and the DEMA has turned up, suggesting the pullback may be losing steam. The WILLR overbought entry and the STOCHF KD cross down, however, are early warnings that the immediate upside could be limited, and a minor retracement might precede further gains. The DX Trend Weak signal suggests the prevailing downtrend on higher timeframes is losing strength, which could allow a counter-trend bounce to develop.

However, the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish, with the 8H and 12H trends very strong and the 1D trend solid. This means the 2H bullish signal is likely a corrective move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.570 is a critical level; a break above it would shift the bias more neutral, while a failure to hold above the nearest support at 155.224 would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should watch for a potential pullback to the support zone before considering long positions, and manage risk tightly given the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI) have crossed their midlines upward, signaling a shift in short-term momentum.
  • Price has reclaimed the middle Bollinger Band and the DEMA is turning up, indicating the pullback may be over.
  • The DX Trend Weak signal suggests the prevailing downtrend is weakening, which could allow a counter-trend rally.
  • Support at 155.224 is nearby and could act as a springboard if tested.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, so the 2H bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • The WILLR overbought and STOCHF KD cross down indicate potential short-term exhaustion, which could lead to a pullback or reversal.
  • Resistance at 158.570 is a major barrier; if the price fails to break above it, the bullish signal may fizzle.
  • If the price breaks below the nearest support at 155.224, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend could resume.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-10 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.57000 2026-08-07
R2 163.90400 2026-07-29
R3 163.94700 2026-07-28
S1 155.22400 2026-08-03

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