AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (50.49)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 16h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 16h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 16h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Channel | chart_pattern | 2.95 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.89 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.38 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.28 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.79 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 1.36 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.28 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▲ | Bullish Separating Lines | candlestick | 0.94 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signals on the 30-minute chart, but higher timeframes are mostly bearish, suggesting a potential counter-trend move.
- Key support to watch is 112.06700; holding above it keeps the bullish bias intact.
- No clear resistance level defined, so upside targets are uncertain.
- Signal strength is very strong with high probability, but conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, Ascending Channel, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, and KAMA Retreat Up, among others. These signals collectively point to strong upward momentum on the intraday timeframe, reinforced by a very strong signal strength and a 98% probability. The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and indicator signals suggests that buyers are in control, with the price likely to continue higher as long as it holds above the nearest support at 112.06700.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture. While the 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h timeframes are bullish, the 1h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, with the latter three showing solid trends (3/5). This divergence implies that the current bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The absence of a defined nearest resistance level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear overhead target. Traders should monitor the 112.06700 support level closely; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a resumption of the broader bearish trend.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture. While the 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h timeframes are bullish, the 1h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, with the latter three showing solid trends (3/5). This divergence implies that the current bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The absence of a defined nearest resistance level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear overhead target. Traders should monitor the 112.06700 support level closely; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a resumption of the broader bearish trend.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals firing simultaneously (trendline, channel, indicator, and EMA/KAMA retreats) indicate strong intraday momentum.
- ▲ Bullish alignment on the 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h timeframes supports the immediate trend.
- ▲ Price is holding above the nearest support at 112.06700, providing a clear invalidation level.
- ▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability suggest a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, with solid trends, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ The 1-hour timeframe is bearish, conflicting with the 30-minute bullish signal, indicating a possible pullback.
- ▼ No defined resistance level means the rally may lack clear targets and could stall.
- ▼ If price breaks below 112.06700, the bullish signal is invalidated and the broader downtrend may resume.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 15:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 112.06700 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 111.89300 | 2026-08-10 |
| S3 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |