AUD/JPY 8H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 69% historisch
▲ Bullish 100% (20.13) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
AUD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 18h
  • TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 18h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.56
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) fibonacci 2.39
T3 Retreat Up indicator 1.99
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.96
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.96
EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.71
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.59
APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bullish momentum signals fired on the 8H chart, indicating a potential short-term upward move.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 114.658 and support at 109.231 for direction.
  • Lower timeframes are choppy, so expect volatility and possible false signals.
The AUD/JPY 8H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, T3). This suggests that after a pullback, buyers are stepping in and short-term momentum is turning upward. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish with solid trend scores, so this signal may represent a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The confluence of multiple indicators pointing up increases the likelihood of a short-term rally, but traders should be cautious about the overall bearish bias.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.658 and support at 109.231. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish case. The lower timeframes are choppy and mixed, so the signal's strength is primarily on the 8H chart. Given the conflicting higher timeframe trends, this signal should be treated as a tactical long opportunity rather than a trend reversal confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of several bullish indicators (APO, BOP, STOCHF, moving-average retreats) on the 8H timeframe.
  • Signal strength is very strong with 100% probability, suggesting high conviction in the setup.
  • The 2H and 4H timeframes are bullish, providing some alignment with the signal.
  • Fibonacci cluster support may be underpinning the bounce.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so the bounce could fade quickly.
  • The 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes are bearish, indicating short-term selling pressure.
  • If price breaks below the nearest support at 109.231, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • Choppy lower timeframes suggest the move may lack follow-through.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.65800 2026-07-27
S1 109.23100 2026-08-03

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