EUR/CAD – 4H – BUY
BUY
77%
▲ Bullish 77% (20.00)
▼ Bearish 23% (6.02)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/CAD
Full calendar- TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 10m
- TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.4%in 10m
- TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 10m
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 2.76 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 2.72 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Exit | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.79 |
| ▲ | ULTOSC OS Exit | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.47 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.30 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish reversal signals on 4H, but all timeframes are bearish, so expect a possible counter-trend bounce.
- Watch for a break above 1.62476 resistance to confirm bullish momentum.
- If price falls below 1.60703 support, the bullish signals are invalidated.
- Trend scores are strong on lower timeframes, indicating the bearish trend is still intact.
The 4H chart for EUR/CAD has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Double Top and Triple Top pattern completion, alongside multiple oscillator exits from oversold conditions (CCI, RSI, ULTOSC) and a BOP Zero Cross Up. These signals suggest that selling pressure may be exhausting and that a bullish reversal could be underway. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1H to 4H timeframes showing solid downtrends. This creates a conflict: the short-term reversal signals are occurring within a larger bearish context, which may limit upside potential or lead to a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.62476 and support at 1.60703. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a move below support would invalidate the reversal signals. Given the strong trend scores on the 4H and lower timeframes, traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation, such as a close above resistance or a shift in higher timeframe trend scores, before committing to long positions.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.62476 and support at 1.60703. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a move below support would invalidate the reversal signals. Given the strong trend scores on the 4H and lower timeframes, traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation, such as a close above resistance or a shift in higher timeframe trend scores, before committing to long positions.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple oscillator oversold exits (RSI, CCI, ULTOSC) suggest selling exhaustion.
- ▲ Double Top and Triple Top patterns indicate potential bullish reversal.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows improving buying pressure.
- ▲ Strong probability (76%) and strong signal strength support the bullish case.
Risk Factors
- ▼ All timeframes are bearish, so the larger trend may overpower the reversal signals.
- ▼ The 4H bearish trend is solid (3/5), meaning the reversal could be short-lived.
- ▼ If price fails to break above resistance, the bounce may fade.
- ▼ A drop below 1.60703 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Symbol
EUR/CAD
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
77%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.62476 | 2026-08-05 |
| R2 | 1.62669 | 2026-07-07 |
| S1 | 1.60703 | 2026-07-31 |
| S2 | 1.60024 | 2026-07-23 |