EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
91%
▲ Bullish 91% (42.35)
▼ Bearish 9% (4.45)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.4%in 9h
- TomorrowEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 9h
- TomorrowEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.3%in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.26 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.86 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | DI CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | DM CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | MAMA Cross Up | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | Morning Doji Star | candlestick | 0.97 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 0.90 |
| ▲ | Morning Star | candlestick | 0.87 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.63 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 30m chart, but the higher timeframes are mostly bearish, so the move may be a counter-trend bounce.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 183.93200; a break above could signal further upside, while a drop below support at 183.55000 would invalidate the bullish case.
- The 15m and 30m trends are bullish, but the 1h, 8h, 12h, and 1d are bearish, so expect potential resistance from the larger downtrend.
- Given the very strong signal strength and 100% probability, the short-term bias is bullish, but caution is advised due to conflicting higher timeframes.
The 30-minute EUR/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including AROON Cross Up, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, CMO Zero Cross Up, DI Cross Up, DM Cross Up, and RSI Midline Cross Up, alongside additional signals from Fibonacci, candlestick, support/resistance, and indicator groups. This confluence suggests a strong short-term momentum shift to the upside, with the probability rated at 100% and very strong strength. The immediate trend on the 15m and 30m timeframes is bullish, though the 30m is noted as choppy/sideways, indicating that the move may be early and could face resistance.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 1h, 8h, 12h, and 1d are bearish, with the 8h and 12h showing solid downtrends. This suggests that the bullish signal on the 30m is counter-trend relative to the larger structure. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 183.93200 and support at 183.55000. A break above resistance could confirm the short-term bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 1h, 8h, 12h, and 1d are bearish, with the 8h and 12h showing solid downtrends. This suggests that the bullish signal on the 30m is counter-trend relative to the larger structure. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 183.93200 and support at 183.55000. A break above resistance could confirm the short-term bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend.
Catalysts
- ▲ A dense cluster of bullish signals across multiple indicator groups (AROON, BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, RSI) provides strong confluence.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, with the 15m trend forming, supporting the immediate upside move.
- ▲ The signal includes Fibonacci and candlestick patterns, adding to the technical confluence.
- ▲ The nearest support at 183.55000 is holding, providing a base for the bullish move.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The higher timeframes (1h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, with the 8h and 12h in solid downtrends, which could cap the upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ The 30m trend is rated as choppy/sideways, suggesting the bullish momentum may lack follow-through.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 183.93200 is a key barrier; failure to break it could lead to a pullback.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 183.55000 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
91%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 183.93200 | 2026-08-10 |
| S1 | 183.55000 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 181.31200 | 2026-08-07 |
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