EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
92%
▲ Bullish 8% (5.19)
▼ Bearish 92% (56.10)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TomorrowEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 10h
- TomorrowEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.3%in 10h
- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 10h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.11 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 2.00 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.73 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.52 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.96 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart points to strong selling pressure.
- The 8H and 12H timeframes are in solid downtrends, aligning with the intraday bearish bias.
- Key levels: resistance at 183.93200 and support at 183.55000; a break below support confirms bearish momentum.
- The 2H and 4H timeframes are still bullish, so watch for potential counter-trend bounces.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Double Bottom Retreat Down, and multiple zero-line crosses on BOP, CMO, and RSI, alongside STOCHF KD and DEMA retreats. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current level, with price retreating from a trendline and a completed double bottom pattern. The 30-minute trend is bearish but choppy, while the 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes show solid bearish trends, suggesting the intraday move aligns with the larger downtrend. However, the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes are still bullish, which could provide a counter-trend bounce.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 183.93200 and support at 183.55000. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The high probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect the extensive signal alignment, but the mixed higher timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a failure to hold below resistance could signal a false breakout.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 183.93200 and support at 183.55000. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The high probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect the extensive signal alignment, but the mixed higher timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a failure to hold below resistance could signal a false breakout.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple signal groups (trendline, chart pattern, indicators) align bearish, increasing confluence.
- ▼ The 8H and 12H solid downtrends provide higher-timeframe support for the sell.
- ▼ Price retreating from a trendline and double bottom pattern suggests a bearish reversal.
- ▼ The very strong signal strength and 96% probability reflect broad technical agreement.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 2H and 4H timeframes are bullish, which could fuel a bounce against the sell signal.
- ▲ The 30M and 1H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating weak momentum that could lead to false signals.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 183.93200, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ RSI and other oscillators may show overbought conditions that could reverse the move.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 09:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 183.93200 | 2026-08-10 |
| S1 | 183.55000 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 181.31200 | 2026-08-07 |
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