EUR/USD 2H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
97%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.36) ▼ Bearish 97% (44.73)
EUR/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 9m
  • TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.3%in 9m
  • TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 9m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.25
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.87
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.78
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.75
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.72
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.71
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.69
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.41
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.35
Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 1.06
Northern Doji candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • 2H signal is strongly bearish with multiple confirmations, but higher timeframes are bullish.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.15804, support at 1.15143.
  • A break below support could signal a deeper correction; a hold may see the uptrend continue.
  • Trend conflict suggests this may be a pullback, not a reversal.
The 2H EUR/USD signal is strongly bearish, with a cluster of indicators confirming downside momentum: a trendline break down, BOP zero cross down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE). However, the broader trend across higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) remains bullish, with trend scores of 2/5 indicating early trend formation. This creates a conflict: the immediate 2H bearish signal may represent a pullback within a larger uptrend, or the start of a reversal. The nearest resistance at 1.15804 and support at 1.15143 are key levels to watch. A break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a hold above may see the uptrend resume.

The signal's strength and confluence of multiple indicators (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, indicator) suggest a high-probability short-term move. Yet, the bullish higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) argue against a sustained downtrend. The 2H timeframe is currently bullish but with a trend forming, so the bearish signal may be an early reversal signal. Traders should monitor price action near support and resistance, and watch for any shift in higher timeframe trends. The overall picture is mixed, so caution is advised.
Catalysts
  • Strong confluence of indicators: trendline break, BOP, moving average retreats.
  • High probability (82%) and strong signal strength.
  • Multiple signal groups (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, indicator) aligning bearish.
  • Bearish momentum on 2H with trend forming.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which may limit downside.
  • 2H trend is still bullish, so the signal could be a false breakdown.
  • Momentum indicators like MOM and ROC are crossing up, suggesting possible bullish divergence.
  • Watch for a close above resistance at 1.15804 to invalidate the bearish signal.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.15804 2026-08-07
S1 1.15143 2026-08-06
S2 1.14999 2026-08-03
S3 1.14548 2026-07-31

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