EUR/USD – 2H – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.36)
▼ Bearish 97% (44.73)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 9m
- TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.3%in 9m
- TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 9m
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.25 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 1.06 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.04 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- 2H signal is strongly bearish with multiple confirmations, but higher timeframes are bullish.
- Key levels: resistance at 1.15804, support at 1.15143.
- A break below support could signal a deeper correction; a hold may see the uptrend continue.
- Trend conflict suggests this may be a pullback, not a reversal.
The 2H EUR/USD signal is strongly bearish, with a cluster of indicators confirming downside momentum: a trendline break down, BOP zero cross down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE). However, the broader trend across higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) remains bullish, with trend scores of 2/5 indicating early trend formation. This creates a conflict: the immediate 2H bearish signal may represent a pullback within a larger uptrend, or the start of a reversal. The nearest resistance at 1.15804 and support at 1.15143 are key levels to watch. A break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a hold above may see the uptrend resume.
The signal's strength and confluence of multiple indicators (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, indicator) suggest a high-probability short-term move. Yet, the bullish higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) argue against a sustained downtrend. The 2H timeframe is currently bullish but with a trend forming, so the bearish signal may be an early reversal signal. Traders should monitor price action near support and resistance, and watch for any shift in higher timeframe trends. The overall picture is mixed, so caution is advised.
The signal's strength and confluence of multiple indicators (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, indicator) suggest a high-probability short-term move. Yet, the bullish higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) argue against a sustained downtrend. The 2H timeframe is currently bullish but with a trend forming, so the bearish signal may be an early reversal signal. Traders should monitor price action near support and resistance, and watch for any shift in higher timeframe trends. The overall picture is mixed, so caution is advised.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong confluence of indicators: trendline break, BOP, moving average retreats.
- ▼ High probability (82%) and strong signal strength.
- ▼ Multiple signal groups (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, indicator) aligning bearish.
- ▼ Bearish momentum on 2H with trend forming.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which may limit downside.
- ▲ 2H trend is still bullish, so the signal could be a false breakdown.
- ▲ Momentum indicators like MOM and ROC are crossing up, suggesting possible bullish divergence.
- ▲ Watch for a close above resistance at 1.15804 to invalidate the bearish signal.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.15804 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.15143 | 2026-08-06 |
| S2 | 1.14999 | 2026-08-03 |
| S3 | 1.14548 | 2026-07-31 |