GBP/JPY – 4H – SELL

2026-08-11 12:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

71%

▼ SELL

MODERATE

Swing

Prognose: 26% historisch

▲ Bullish 29% (4.38) ▼ Bearish 71% (10.57)

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

23:01TodayGBPRICS House Price Balance (Jul)●●○Forecast -30%Previous -33%in 17h
23:50TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 18h
23:50TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.18
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.73
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.66
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.01
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A bearish signal on the 4H chart aligns with solid downtrends on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D).
Momentum has faded: RSI and Stochastic are exiting overbought, and the KD cross is down.
The EMA 200 and T3 Retreat Down confirm a bearish reversal in the medium-term trend.
Watch the nearest support at 211.455; a break below could accelerate the decline.

The 4H SELL signal on GBP/JPY is driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure, while the DX Trend Weak suggests the prevailing uptrend is losing strength. The RSI and STOCH OB Exits, along with the STOCHF KD Cross Down, confirm that the bullish momentum has faded. The EMA 200 Retreat Down and T3 Retreat Down point to a bearish reversal in the medium-term trend. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) adds a technical level that has been broken, further supporting the bearish case.

The trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but increasingly bearish on higher timeframes: the 4H is still bullish but forming, while the 8H, 12H, and 1D are all in solid bearish trends. This suggests that the higher timeframe trend is dominant and the current 4H signal may be an early indication of a shift. The nearest resistance at 218.676 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break above it, the bearish scenario strengthens. The nearest support at 211.455 is the primary downside target, with a break below that opening the door for further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 8H, 12H, and 1D all show solid bearish trends, supporting the 4H sell signal.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, STOCHF) confirm the loss of bullish momentum.
▼ The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) provides a key technical level that has been broken, adding confluence.
▼ The EMA 200 Retreat Down and T3 Retreat Down signal a shift in the medium-term trend.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H trend is still bullish (trend forming), so the sell signal may be premature if the higher timeframe pullback is just a correction.
▲ The nearest resistance at 218.676 could act as a strong barrier; if price breaks above it, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ The 15m to 2h timeframes are still bullish, suggesting short-term buying pressure that could stall the decline.
▲ If the RSI and Stochastic show bullish divergence or the price holds above the Fibonacci level, the sell signal may weaken.