AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-12 03:00 UTC · 16 hours ago

BUY

98%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 98% (75.26) ▼ Bearish 2% (1.96)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 7h
23:50TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 7h
00:15TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.76
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.58
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.48
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.44
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	2.36
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	Double Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	2.30
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.12
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals cluster on the 30M chart, but the daily trend is bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
Resistance at 112.567 is the immediate upside target; support at 112.067 is the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so any long should be considered short-term.
The signal's high probability is driven by multiple indicators aligning, but choppy lower timeframes add uncertainty.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, and a StochF KD Cross Up, alongside a Fibonacci group. This suggests a short-term bounce is developing within a broader bearish context. The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish with trend scores of 2-3, while the lower timeframes (15M to 4H) are choppy and mixed, with the 30M itself bearish. This creates a conflicting picture: the immediate bullish signals may be a counter-trend move against the dominant daily downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 112.567 and support at 112.067. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the high probability score (92%) but the bearish higher timeframe alignment, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, watching for momentum confirmation and any signs of failure near resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators (Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up) provide strong confluence.
▲ Fibonacci group signals suggest potential support levels aligning with the bounce.
▲ Stochastic Fast KD Cross Up indicates short-term momentum turning bullish.
▲ The 15M and 2H timeframes are bullish, offering some intraday support.

Risk Factors

▼ The daily and 12H trends are bearish, so the bounce could be a retracement within a larger downtrend.
▼ The 30M and 1H timeframes are bearish, conflicting with the signal direction.
▼ A break below support at 112.067 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Choppy price action on lower timeframes (trend score 1/5) suggests low conviction and potential whipsaws.