EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL
SELL
82%
▲ Bullish 18% (6.19)
▼ Bearish 82% (27.90)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 7h
- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.6%in 14h
- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.8%Previous 3.6%in 14h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.62 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.56 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.51 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.51 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.23 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.13 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.13 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.26 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.15 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.04 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 30M timeframe, supported by multiple indicators.
- Trend is bearish across most timeframes, but the 1h and 1d are bullish, creating a conflict.
- Immediate support at 1.63245; a break below may lead to further downside.
- Watch for a close above resistance at 1.63554 as a sign of trend reversal.
The EUR/AUD pair is exhibiting a strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute timeframe, with a confluence of signals indicating a clear downtrend. The Trendline Retreat Down and EMA/KAMA Retreat Down confirm that price is pulling back from a trendline and moving averages, while the AROON Strong Downtrend and BOP Zero Cross Down highlight the strength of the selling pressure. Additionally, the STOCHF KD Cross Down and WILLR OS Entry suggest that the momentum is aligning with the bearish move, and the BBANDS Lower Break Down indicates that price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, often a sign of strong downward movement. The overall trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with the 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h all showing bearish conditions, though choppy/sideways with a low trend score. However, the 1h and 1d timeframes are bullish, which introduces a conflicting element, but the 1d is only in the early stages of trend formation, suggesting that the longer-term bullish bias may be weakening. The key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.63245 and resistance at 1.63554. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of trendline, EMA, and KAMA retreats indicating strong downward pressure.
- ▼ AROON Strong Downtrend and BOP Zero Cross Down confirm bearish momentum.
- ▼ BBANDS Lower Break Down and WILLR OS Entry suggest oversold conditions may persist.
- ▼ Fibonacci and support/resistance levels align with the bearish move.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframe bullish bias (1h and 1d) could counter the bearish signal.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions across timeframes may lead to false breakouts.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.63554, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum indicators like STOCHF may signal oversold, potentially leading to a bounce.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
82%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 03:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.63554 | 2026-08-11 |
| R2 | 1.63971 | 2026-08-11 |
| R3 | 1.64047 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.63245 | 2026-08-11 |
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