EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

2026-08-12 12:00 UTC · 3 days ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +5%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (30.77)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

12:30August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 1 day
14:00August 17, 2026USDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 1 day
20:00August 17, 2026USDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.25
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)	fibonacci	1.86
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.79
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.31
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.07
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong SELL signal on the 2H chart suggests a potential bearish reversal, but it is against the prevailing bullish trend.
Key levels: resistance at 1.15804 and support at 1.15309; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum.
The signal combines multiple technical triggers (trendline break, indicator crossovers, and candlestick patterns), increasing its reliability.
Given the bullish higher timeframes, this is a counter-trend trade; use tight risk management and watch for invalidation above resistance.

The 2H chart for EUR/USD has triggered a SELL signal with very strong probability (86%), driven by a confluence of technical events. A Trendline Break Down confirms a bearish shift, while indicator signals such as AROON Strong Uptrend, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and DEMA/EMA Retreat Down collectively point to fading bullish momentum and a potential reversal. The signal groups include fibonacci, candlestick, indicator, and trendline, adding weight to the bearish case.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with the 1D showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 12H a forming trend (2/5). This creates a conflict: the 2H signal is counter-trend. The nearest resistance sits at 1.15804, while support is at 1.15309. For the bearish signal to play out, price must hold below resistance and break through support, confirming a deeper correction. Traders should watch for a close below 1.15309 to validate the move, as a failure to do so could signal a false breakout.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple signal types (trendline, indicator, candlestick, fibonacci) strengthens the bearish case.
▼ Momentum indicators (STOCHF, WILLR, BOP) are turning down, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
▼ The trendline break on the 2H indicates a potential change in market structure.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal.
▲ The signal is counter-trend; if price reclaims resistance at 1.15804, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes (15m-4h) may lead to false signals and whipsaws.
▲ If support at 1.15309 holds, the bearish move may stall, leading to a range-bound market.