EUR/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (1.29)
▼ Bearish 96% (28.69)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.8%Previous 3.6%in 9h
- TomorrowEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3%Previous 2.9%in 9h
- TomorrowEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.6%in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.94 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.89 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.84 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | CCI Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.33 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.92 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish momentum is building on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicator confirmations.
- Higher timeframes are still bullish, so this may be a pullback within an uptrend.
- Watch the 1.15309 support and 1.15443 resistance as key decision levels.
- The signal is strong, but the mixed trend context suggests caution.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and a BOP Zero Cross Down, while momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) show zero-line crosses that suggest a shift in short-term momentum. The STOCHF KD Cross Down adds to the bearish confirmation. However, the broader trend context is mixed: the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, with the daily chart showing a solid uptrend. This suggests the current bearish signal may be a corrective pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than a full reversal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.15309 and resistance at 1.15443. A break below support could open the door for further downside, while a bounce off support might signal that the bullish higher-timeframe trend is reasserting itself. The signal's strength is high (81% probability), but the conflicting higher-timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor whether the bearish momentum can sustain or if it fades near support.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.15309 and resistance at 1.15443. A break below support could open the door for further downside, while a bounce off support might signal that the bullish higher-timeframe trend is reasserting itself. The signal's strength is high (81% probability), but the conflicting higher-timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor whether the bearish momentum can sustain or if it fades near support.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero, confirming bearish momentum.
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down and BOP Zero Cross Down providing strong bearish confluence.
- ▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down adding to the bearish case.
- ▼ Signal strength is high (81%) with a strong trend score on the 30-minute timeframe.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is bullish, suggesting short-term counter-trend strength.
- ▲ If price holds above support at 1.15309, the bearish signal may fail.
- ▲ The daily trend is solidly bullish, so this could be a shallow pullback rather than a new downtrend.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.15443 | 2026-08-12 |
| R2 | 1.15480 | 2026-08-11 |
| R3 | 1.15494 | 2026-08-11 |
| S1 | 1.15309 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 1.15172 | 2026-08-07 |
| S3 | 1.15143 | 2026-08-06 |
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