USD/JPY 1H BUY

· 52 minutes ago
BUY
95%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +4%
▲ Bullish 95% (27.47) ▼ Bearish 5% (1.32)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 2h
  • TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 2h
  • TomorrowUSDFed Hammack Speech●●○in 15h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.44
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.33
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.29
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.14
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.11
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.11
MA Retreat Up indicator 2.06
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.05
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.96
CCI OB Exit indicator 1.90
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.83
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.32
Takuri Line candlestick 1.06
Dragonfly Doji candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signals on the 1H timeframe suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
  • Key support at 158.58100 is the line in the sand; a break below invalidates the bullish case.
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, so any upside may be corrective.
  • The cluster of moving average retreats and momentum signals adds confluence to the bullish outlook.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bullish (95% probability, very strong) with a cluster of indicator signals including BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OB Exit, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA). These signals suggest a short-term upward correction within a broader bearish trend. The higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bearish, with solid trends on 8H, 12H, and 1D, while the 15M and 30M are turning bullish, indicating a potential momentum shift at the lower end.

The immediate support at 158.58100 is critical; holding above this level could validate the bullish signal and allow a bounce. However, the lack of a defined resistance level above suggests that any upside may be limited by the prevailing downtrend. The conflicting higher timeframe trends (bearish) and the 1H being still bearish on the trend table create a cautionary backdrop. Traders should watch for a break below 158.58100, which would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader bearish momentum.
Catalysts
  • Multiple indicator signals (BOP, CCI, STOCH, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) all align in the bullish direction.
  • 15M and 30M timeframes are turning bullish, suggesting early momentum shift.
  • Support at 158.58100 is well-defined and could act as a launchpad for a bounce.
  • High probability (95%) and very strong signal strength increase confidence in the short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, with solid trends, which could overpower the 1H bullish signal.
  • The 1H trend is still bearish on the trend table, indicating conflicting signals within the same timeframe.
  • No clear resistance level above means the upside may be capped by the prevailing downtrend.
  • A break below 158.58100 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate the bearish move.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-12 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 158.58100 2026-08-12
S2 156.67200 2026-08-07

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