USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 hour ago
SELL
98%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 2% (2.16) ▼ Bearish 98% (96.43)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Hammack Speech●●○in 1h
  • TodayUSDCore PPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.7%Previous 4.7%in 1h
  • TodayUSDCore PPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 1h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.01
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.00
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.93
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.40
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.15
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: multiple signal types (trendline, Fibonacci, candlesticks, indicators) all point lower.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) showing solid trends, supporting the sell.
  • Key resistance at 159.481 has held; a break below support at 158.581 could accelerate downside.
  • The 79% Fibonacci retreat level is a critical pivot; a close below it confirms the bearish continuation.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to continued downside. The Trendline Retreat Down confirms a break from a rising trendline, while the Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at the 79% retracement level suggests that the pair has failed to reclaim a key Fibonacci level and is now retreating back into the downtrend. The Bearish Engulfing and Spinning Top Bearish candlestick patterns indicate selling pressure at resistance, and the BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down reinforce the bearish momentum. The Resistance Level Retreat Down shows that price has been rejected from the nearest resistance at 159.481, which now acts as a barrier for any upside attempts.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes all showing solid trends (strength 3/5), providing a strong macro backdrop for the short-term sell signal. The shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h) are also bearish but with weaker trend strength, indicating that the immediate move may be choppy. The confluence of signals across multiple categories (indicator, candlestick, Fibonacci, trendline, and support/resistance) significantly increases the reliability of the bearish outlook. The nearest support at 158.581 is the first downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further losses. Traders should watch for a close below the 79% Fibonacci level to confirm the retreat, and any bounce toward 159.481 could offer a selling opportunity if it holds.
Catalysts
  • Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with strong trend scores on 8H, 12H, and 1D.
  • Confluence of candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Spinning Top) with momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH).
  • Resistance level retreat at 159.481 confirms rejection from a key supply zone.
  • Fibonacci retreat at 79% suggests the pair is failing to sustain a recovery, aligning with the downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • If price breaks back above 159.481, the bearish setup is invalidated and a move higher could follow.
  • Shorter timeframes (30m, 2h, 4h) are choppy/sideways, which may lead to false signals or range-bound price action.
  • A close above the 79% Fibonacci level (around 159.481) would negate the retreat signal and could trigger short covering.
  • Watch for momentum divergence: if RSI or MACD shows bullish divergence while price makes new lows, the downtrend may be losing steam.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 159.48100 2026-08-13
R2 159.54100 2026-08-12
S1 158.58100 2026-08-12
S2 156.67200 2026-08-07

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