USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
98%
▲ Bullish 2% (2.16)
▼ Bearish 98% (96.43)
Loading…
Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDFed Hammack Speech●●○in 1h
- TodayUSDCore PPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.7%Previous 4.7%in 1h
- TodayUSDCore PPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 1h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 2.01 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.00 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.93 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.15 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.90 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: multiple signal types (trendline, Fibonacci, candlesticks, indicators) all point lower.
- All timeframes are bearish, with higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) showing solid trends, supporting the sell.
- Key resistance at 159.481 has held; a break below support at 158.581 could accelerate downside.
- The 79% Fibonacci retreat level is a critical pivot; a close below it confirms the bearish continuation.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to continued downside. The Trendline Retreat Down confirms a break from a rising trendline, while the Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at the 79% retracement level suggests that the pair has failed to reclaim a key Fibonacci level and is now retreating back into the downtrend. The Bearish Engulfing and Spinning Top Bearish candlestick patterns indicate selling pressure at resistance, and the BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down reinforce the bearish momentum. The Resistance Level Retreat Down shows that price has been rejected from the nearest resistance at 159.481, which now acts as a barrier for any upside attempts.
Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes all showing solid trends (strength 3/5), providing a strong macro backdrop for the short-term sell signal. The shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h) are also bearish but with weaker trend strength, indicating that the immediate move may be choppy. The confluence of signals across multiple categories (indicator, candlestick, Fibonacci, trendline, and support/resistance) significantly increases the reliability of the bearish outlook. The nearest support at 158.581 is the first downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further losses. Traders should watch for a close below the 79% Fibonacci level to confirm the retreat, and any bounce toward 159.481 could offer a selling opportunity if it holds.
Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes all showing solid trends (strength 3/5), providing a strong macro backdrop for the short-term sell signal. The shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h) are also bearish but with weaker trend strength, indicating that the immediate move may be choppy. The confluence of signals across multiple categories (indicator, candlestick, Fibonacci, trendline, and support/resistance) significantly increases the reliability of the bearish outlook. The nearest support at 158.581 is the first downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further losses. Traders should watch for a close below the 79% Fibonacci level to confirm the retreat, and any bounce toward 159.481 could offer a selling opportunity if it holds.
Catalysts
- ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with strong trend scores on 8H, 12H, and 1D.
- ▼ Confluence of candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Spinning Top) with momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH).
- ▼ Resistance level retreat at 159.481 confirms rejection from a key supply zone.
- ▼ Fibonacci retreat at 79% suggests the pair is failing to sustain a recovery, aligning with the downtrend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ If price breaks back above 159.481, the bearish setup is invalidated and a move higher could follow.
- ▲ Shorter timeframes (30m, 2h, 4h) are choppy/sideways, which may lead to false signals or range-bound price action.
- ▲ A close above the 79% Fibonacci level (around 159.481) would negate the retreat signal and could trigger short covering.
- ▲ Watch for momentum divergence: if RSI or MACD shows bullish divergence while price makes new lows, the downtrend may be losing steam.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.48100 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 159.54100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 158.58100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |