AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL
79%
▲ Bullish 21% (13.86)
▼ Bearish 79% (53.58)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/CAD
Full calendar- August 17, 2026CADInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.6%Previous 2.8%in 1 day
- August 17, 2026CADCPI Common YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.6%in 1 day
- August 17, 2026CADCPI Median YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 1.8%Previous 1.9%in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Triple Bottom | chart_pattern | 4.31 |
| ▲ | Double Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.89 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.11 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.89 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.88 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 1.59 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.51 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | MACD Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | Triple Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 1.41 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.89 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30m chart, including trendline breaks and bottom pattern retreats, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
- The nearest support at 0.98192 is the critical level; a break below could confirm further downside.
- Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bullish, creating a conflicting trend environment that may limit the bearish move.
- The signal is strong (79% probability), but the choppy market conditions suggest careful risk management.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, and multiple bottom patterns (Double Bottom, Triple Bottom) with retreat-down confirmations, alongside MACD and BOP zero-cross downs. This confluence suggests strong selling pressure at current levels, with the price likely retreating from a recently formed bottom structure. The nearest resistance at 0.98378 and support at 0.98192 define the immediate trading range, and a break below support would confirm further downside.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish, while higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bullish, though all are choppy/sideways. The 12h and 1d are bearish, providing some alignment with the short-term bearish bias. The signal's strength is high (79% probability), but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. Key levels to watch are the support at 0.98192; a break below could accelerate selling, while a bounce might lead to a retest of resistance.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish, while higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bullish, though all are choppy/sideways. The 12h and 1d are bearish, providing some alignment with the short-term bearish bias. The signal's strength is high (79% probability), but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. Key levels to watch are the support at 0.98192; a break below could accelerate selling, while a bounce might lead to a retest of resistance.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals: trendline breaks, bottom pattern retreats, and MACD/BOP zero-cross downs.
- ▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are aligned bearish, supporting the sell signal.
- ▼ The 12h and 1d timeframes are also bearish, adding longer-term bearish alignment.
- ▼ Strong signal strength (79%) and high signal density indicate robust selling momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish move and cause a bounce.
- ▲ The market is choppy/sideways across most timeframes, indicating a lack of clear trend and potential for false breakouts.
- ▲ If price holds above support at 0.98192 and reverses, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may fade quickly given the conflicting higher timeframe trends; watch for a break back above resistance at 0.98378.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
79%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 21:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.98378 | 2026-08-14 |
| R2 | 0.98518 | 2026-08-13 |
| R3 | 0.98637 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 0.98192 | 2026-08-14 |
| S2 | 0.98183 | 2026-08-11 |
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