AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

2026-08-14 16:00 UTC · 50 minutes ago

BUY

97%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 97% (87.72) ▼ Bearish 3% (3.15)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
23:50August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
00:30August 18, 2026AUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Rectangle	chart_pattern	3.69
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	3.16
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.82
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.77
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.73
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	2.55
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	BBANDS UPPER Break Up	indicator	2.28
▲	Triple Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	2.24
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.01
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	2.01
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.01
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.90
▲	Double Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	1.83
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.27
▲	Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.03
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 1H chart points to strong short-term upside momentum.
The price has broken above a descending trendline and reclaimed a rectangle pattern, with support at 112.20800.
Higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, so this could be a counter-trend bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 112.74900; a break above it would confirm further upside, while a drop below support invalidates the bullish setup.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish triggers, including a Trendline Break Up, a Double Top Retreat Up, a Triple Top Retreat Up, a Rectangle breakout, and multiple zero-cross overs (BOP, CCI, CMO) plus over 14 additional signals. This confluence suggests a strong short-term momentum shift to the upside, with the price breaking above a descending trendline and reclaiming key chart patterns. The immediate target is the nearest resistance at 112.74900, while support sits at 112.20800.

However, the higher-timeframe trend is mostly bearish or choppy, with the 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing bearish bias. This creates a conflict: the bullish 1H signal is firing against the broader downtrend. The 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy, indicating that the upside may be limited or part of a corrective bounce. Traders should watch whether the price can sustain above the broken trendline and hold above support; a failure to break resistance could see the pair revert to the broader bearish path.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple trendline breaks and chart pattern retreats (Double Top, Triple Top) indicate strong bullish reversal signals.
▲ Zero-cross overs on BOP, CCI, and CMO confirm improving momentum and buying pressure.
▲ A very strong signal strength (96%) with over 20 signals fired adds high confluence.
▲ The price is holding above the nearest support at 112.20800, providing a base for the move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the bullish signal may be a correction within a larger downtrend.
▼ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy, indicating weak trend conviction on the lower timeframes.
▼ A failure to break above the nearest resistance at 112.74900 could lead to a reversal back toward support.
▼ If the price closes below the broken trendline or support at 112.20800, the bullish setup is invalidated.