AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-08-14 14:00 UTC · 50 minutes ago

SELL

84%

▼ SELL

STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 40% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 16% (5.96) ▼ Bearish 84% (30.75)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
23:50August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
00:30August 18, 2026AUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.37
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	2.18
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.13
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▲	EMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	1.91
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.71
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.69
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.44
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart: trendline break, double top, and multiple momentum crossdowns.
Higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D) support the bearish bias, though 15m/30m/4H are still bullish and choppy.
Watch the 112.74900 resistance as the invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish signal.
Immediate downside target is the 112.13400 support; a break below could accelerate selling.

The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Double Top pattern, with momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) and the Stochastic Fast (STOCHF) all crossing down. The BOP zero cross down confirms selling pressure, while the Aroon strong uptrend reading suggests the prior advance is losing steam. Together, these signals point to a shift from bullish to bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe, with an 83% probability and strong strength rating.

Across higher timeframes, the 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show bearish trends, with the 12H and 1D in 'trend forming' mode, aligning with the 2H signal. However, the 15m, 30m, and 4H remain bullish but choppy, indicating mixed intraday sentiment. The nearest resistance at 112.74900 is a key barrier; a rejection there would reinforce the bearish case, while a break above it would invalidate the setup. The nearest support at 112.13400 is the immediate downside target, and a sustained break below that could open further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Trendline Break Down and Double Top pattern provide classic bearish reversal confluence.
▼ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) and Stochastic Fast all crossing down confirm fading bullish momentum.
▼ BOP zero cross down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure.
▼ Alignment of bearish trends on 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes supports the 2H signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m, 30m, and 4H timeframes are still bullish and choppy, which could lead to a bounce or sideways consolidation.
▲ The 2H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting the bearish move may lack strong trend momentum.
▲ If price breaks above the 112.74900 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and a bullish reversal could occur.
▲ The Aroon strong uptrend reading indicates that the prior uptrend is still strong, which could delay or reverse the bearish move.