AUD/USD – 1H – BUY
BUY
96%
▲ Bullish 96% (59.94)
▼ Bearish 4% (2.28)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 2 days
- August 17, 2026USDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 2 days
- August 17, 2026USDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 3 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.59 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.48 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.48 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | BBANDS UPPER Break Up | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | RSI OB Entry | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | ADX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.16 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.88 |
Trend Context
15MUPVery strong trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal on the 1H chart with multiple indicators aligning.
- Trend is bullish across all timeframes, but strongest on lower timeframes.
- Watch resistance at 0.70908 for a potential breakout; support at 0.70435 is key for invalidation.
- Higher timeframe trend is still forming, so the move may be part of a larger consolidation.
The AUD/USD 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of indicators including ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OB Entry, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, BBANDS UPPER Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up, and EMA Retreat Up. Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15m up to 1D, though momentum is strongest on the lower timeframes (15m and 30m) and weakens into choppiness on the higher timeframes (2H, 12H, 1D). This suggests that the immediate momentum is robust, but the higher-timeframe trend is still forming, so the move may be part of a larger consolidation rather than a full breakout.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70435. A break above resistance could signal continuation, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the confluence of signals and the alignment across timeframes, the bias remains upward, but traders should monitor whether the higher timeframes can confirm the trend to sustain the move.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70435. A break above resistance could signal continuation, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the confluence of signals and the alignment across timeframes, the bias remains upward, but traders should monitor whether the higher timeframes can confirm the trend to sustain the move.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple indicators fire in the same direction, including ADX, RSI, Stochastic, and Bollinger Bands.
- ▲ Trend alignment across all timeframes, even if weaker on higher timeframes, supports the bullish case.
- ▲ Price breaking above the upper Bollinger Band indicates strong upward momentum.
- ▲ High probability (96%) and very strong strength signal increase confidence.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 12H, 1D) show choppy/sideways trend, which could limit upside potential.
- ▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 0.70908, the bullish momentum may fade.
- ▼ A drop below support at 0.70435 would invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ Overbought conditions (RSI, Williams %R) could lead to a pullback.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70908 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 0.70435 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 0.70397 | 2026-08-11 |
| S3 | 0.70220 | 2026-08-07 |
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