AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

2026-08-14 18:00 UTC · 18 hours ago

SELL

80%

▼ SELL

STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 40% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 20% (5.47) ▼ Bearish 80% (22.30)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

12:30August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 1 day
14:00August 17, 2026USDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 2 days
20:00August 17, 2026USDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.69
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.14
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.04
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.95
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.82
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.76
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.57
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	Triple Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	1.28
▼	Double Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	1.19

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 2H chart point to a potential short-term selloff in AUD/USD.
The signal is counter-trend: higher timeframes (30m to 8h) are still bullish, so the move may be a pullback rather than a major reversal.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70908, support at 0.70435. A break below support would confirm the bearish move.
Momentum indicators (RSI, Stochastic, BOP) have exited overbought and crossed down, supporting the bearish case.

The AUD/USD 2H chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals: a Trendline Retreat Down and a Trendline Break Down, alongside Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Downs, plus momentum exits (RSI OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down) and a BOP Zero Cross Down. This confluence suggests that the recent rally has lost steam and is now reversing lower, with the price retreating from a trendline and breaking below it. The volume of signals, all pointing in the same direction, adds conviction to the bearish outlook.

However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m timeframe is bearish, the 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes are still bullish, though the 2h and 12h and 1d are choppy/sideways. This indicates that the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The nearest resistance is at 0.70908, and the nearest support is at 0.70435. A break below support would confirm the reversal, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of bearish signals (trendline breaks, pattern retreats, momentum exits) provides strong confluence.
▼ The 15m timeframe is bearish, aligning with the sell signal and suggesting immediate downward momentum.
▼ The price is retreating from a trendline and breaking below it, a classic bearish reversal pattern.
▼ Momentum oscillators (RSI, Stochastic) have exited overbought, indicating a shift in momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m to 8h) are still bullish, so the sell signal could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ The 2H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, reducing the clarity of the trend.
▲ If the price fails to break below support at 0.70435 and instead reverses higher, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ A move back above resistance at 0.70908 would negate the bearish setup and signal a resumption of the bullish trend.