EUR/CAD 2H SELL

· 19 hours ago
SELL
98%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.23) ▼ Bearish 98% (73.78)
EUR/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar
  • August 17, 2026CADCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2%Previous 2.1%in 1 day
  • August 17, 2026CADCPI Trimmed-Mean YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 1.7%Previous 1.8%in 1 day
  • August 17, 2026CADCore Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Descending Triangle chart_pattern 3.08
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.69
SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.56
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.56
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.38
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.88
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.80
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.78
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.78
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.60
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.30
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.29
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.27
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.23
Last Engulfing Top candlestick 1.17
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.02
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A Descending Triangle breakdown on the 2H chart is backed by a wave of momentum oscillators crossing below zero/midline, signaling strong bearish pressure.
  • The trend is bearish across most timeframes, with the 4H showing a solid trend, but the 2H itself remains bullish—so confirmation below support is key.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.60295; a break could open the path lower, while resistance at 1.60949 is the invalidation level.
  • The high signal probability (98%) and very strong strength reflect exceptional confluence, but lower-timeframe choppiness calls for careful entry timing.
The EUR/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Descending Triangle breakdown and a sweeping set of momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing below their zero or midline thresholds. This confluence reflects broad selling pressure that aligns with a predominantly bearish trend across the higher timeframes, particularly the 4H solid trend (3/5) and bearish formations on 8H, 12H, and 1D. While the 2H itself is still flagged as bullish (1/5, choppy), the overwhelming bearish momentum and pattern breakdown suggest the lower-timeframe bias is being overridden.

Immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.60295; a break below would confirm the Descending Triangle target and extend the downtrend. Resistance at 1.60949 is the key invalidation zone—a reclaim would signal a failed breakdown and potential reversal. The alignment of multiple momentum crossovers with the chart pattern strengthens the bearish case, but the mixed lower-timeframe trends (15m, 30m, 1h) and the 2H bullish flag introduce near-term uncertainty, warranting patience for a decisive move.
Catalysts
  • Descending Triangle pattern provides a clear bearish continuation setup.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing below zero/midline simultaneously—strong bearish alignment.
  • Bearish trend across 4H (solid), 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes supports the lower-timeframe signal.
  • Very strong signal strength (98% probability) indicates high confluence of technical factors.
Risk Factors
  • The 2H timeframe itself is still bullish (1/5, choppy), which could lead to false breakdowns or a reversal.
  • Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish but choppy/sideways, suggesting momentum may be inconsistent.
  • If price reclaims resistance at 1.60949, the breakdown is invalidated and the bearish thesis weakens.
  • Nearby support at 1.60295 may provide a bounce, especially if the broader trend is not fully aligned.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-14 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.60949 2026-08-13
R2 1.62476 2026-08-05
S1 1.60295 2026-07-29

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